PITON2026

@PITON2026

#159,82331

0x2142e247d307bea9d271b62d90f4c434bf366b8c

~36d· 259 markets · 689 tradesVol: $42,7302026-08-04 22:40:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (7/190)0/20
1.15x (win $204 / loss $177)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.71813.5/15
Sortino 1.85610/10
$+0.0678 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 4177 (190 markets)0/10
6/30 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 220% of peak ($87 / $40)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+244
Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#16,863$19Vol: $16,365
🏛️ POLITICS#288,372$2Vol: $13,356
💻 TECH#5,281$125Vol: $4,948
🎭 CULTURE#18,454$122Vol: $3,191
SPORTS#304,504$7Vol: $2,037
📈 ECONOMICS#435,703$-1Vol: $910
💰 FINANCE#136,678$1Vol: $424
CRYPTO#990,161$-3Vol: $321
📢 MENTIONS#67,420$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,730
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
259
total markets
Trades
577B / 112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$46
Vol: $1,894
Week
$-20
Vol: $3,200
Month
$-88
Vol: $3,477
All Time
$244
Vol: $42,730

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
3%
6W / 184L events
Realized PnL
$244
Win Rate
3%
6W / 184L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183 (0.7489757456571615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$116
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$20
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$10
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$9
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$-36
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-10
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?$-7
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-5
Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$-5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$-4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.104
HHI
395
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
36.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.6
Active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1543s — normal for humanCV 4.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active7.0 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)10.2%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 10:15:03 AM4 trades$6672 min
7/14/2026, 1:28:50 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/20/2026, 4:42:43 PM2 trades$1430 min
7/31/2026, 6:09:48 AM2 trades$670 min
7/27/2026, 8:48:27 PM3 trades$590 min
7/8/2026, 9:42:59 AM2 trades$570 min
7/14/2026, 5:13:31 PM4 trades$541 min
7/12/2026, 7:23:23 AM7 trades$500 min
7/19/2026, 10:33:34 PM2 trades$490 min
7/24/2026, 7:57:00 PM16 trades$321 min
7/18/2026, 4:12:19 PM3 trades$320 min
7/24/2026, 5:34:16 PM2 trades$300 min
7/26/2026, 10:13:58 AM2 trades$290 min
6/30/2026, 9:50:46 AM2 trades$280 min
7/19/2026, 10:22:37 PM3 trades$272 min
7/22/2026, 8:29:58 AM2 trades$200 min
7/11/2026, 1:22:04 PM13 trades$172 min
7/26/2026, 12:30:31 PM2 trades$130 min
8/1/2026, 5:24:38 PM3 trades$120 min
7/29/2026, 1:35:47 PM11 trades$118 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
07-05
07-10
07-15
07-21
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.4 / M1.4 / H10.2