@PMPD
#3,039,397470x90c156ab99cd5bf2e55e9eb6a36706bda565f6be
~26d· 107 markets · 742 tradesVol: $481,9162026-08-06 08:38:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
11% (11/100)0/20
1.40x (win $25,677 / loss $18,282)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.28315/15
Sortino 3.10110/10
$+0.3925 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1864 (100 markets)3.2/10
2/16 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($14,287 / $21,682)0.8/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#3,948$9,547Vol: $273,839
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,739$-9,684Vol: $139,010
💰 FINANCE#658,454$-1,833Vol: $26,831
🎭 CULTURE#802,748$-351Vol: $19,124
💻 TECH#258,620$-1,633Vol: $14,460
⚽ SPORTS#1,752,451$-234Vol: $8,651
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$481,916
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
506B / 236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$-61
Vol: $0
Month
$-230
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,188
Vol: $481,916
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
11%
11W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$-3,644
Win Rate
11%
11W / 89L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$2,334
Avg Loss
$-205
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,535 (7.0076731396204055% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$25,231
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$254
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?$51
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?$40
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$31
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$21
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?$14
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?$13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$9
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$-9,099
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$-2,528
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$-2,390
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?$-1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$-1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$-449
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?$-338
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-300
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-169
Ukraine election called in 2025?$-114
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.065
Sortino
0.161
HHI
1683
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.462
Kelly %
5.6%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
37.2%
Top-5 markets
68.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.8m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 4.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)88.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)1.2%
Sessions
#125/11/2026, 6:45:24 PM46 trades$35,2514 min
4/29/2026, 9:34:04 PM38 trades$10,6688 min
5/11/2026, 6:56:22 PM19 trades$8,8365 min
7/17/2026, 12:32:51 PM56 trades$4,4683 min
7/18/2026, 7:28:51 PM18 trades$3,3941 min
4/29/2026, 10:09:10 PM9 trades$2,6970 min
4/29/2026, 11:25:28 PM10 trades$2,5023 min
7/18/2026, 7:48:13 PM14 trades$1,7920 min
5/12/2026, 12:21:25 AM3 trades$1,5203 min
5/11/2026, 11:29:36 PM2 trades$1,5030 min
7/18/2026, 10:07:58 PM6 trades$1,2730 min
7/17/2026, 3:10:33 PM18 trades$1,0980 min
5/13/2026, 11:50:51 AM4 trades$8430 min
4/29/2026, 11:47:08 PM11 trades$7671 min
11/25/2025, 1:41:19 PM8 trades$5989 min
7/18/2026, 6:32:37 PM4 trades$4810 min
7/23/2026, 5:59:58 AM1 trades$3980 min
5/11/2026, 9:33:20 PM1 trades$3810 min
11/25/2025, 3:12:31 PM1 trades$2900 min
7/18/2026, 10:13:30 PM4 trades$2840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
10-15
11-02
11-22
11-25
12-01
04-29
05-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.9 / M9.9 / H1.2