@Papuasus

#9,41141

0x9034d7be0aff3819327a8927905e8f174e8c4375

~97d· 224 markets · 10588 tradesVol: $1,740,075 @IvanIvanov_0012026-08-04 18:10:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (41/222)0/20
1.11x (win $92,235 / loss $83,019)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84815/15
Sortino 1.45110/10
$+0.0520 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 164 (222 markets)10/10
24/80 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 171% of peak ($29,731 / $17,413)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+16,424
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Whale
$177,065 invested
High Roller
$1,302/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#357$22,080Vol: $1,719,043
CRYPTO#1,574,146$-348Vol: $7,651
SPORTS#1,829,588$-1,048Vol: $4,203
📈 ECONOMICS#491,614$-1Vol: $1,285
🏛️ POLITICS#712,356$-0Vol: $122

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,340
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,740,075
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
224
total markets
Trades
5438B / 5150S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-249
Vol: $15,616
Week
$-151
Vol: $19,505
Month
$-153
Vol: $19,505
All Time
$16,340
Vol: $1,740,075

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
41W / 181L events
Realized PnL
$16,424
Win Rate
18%
41W / 181L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$2,250
Avg Loss
$-466

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,235 (1.6582358173895093% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$9,525
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$8,938
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$8,771
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$8,455
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$8,186
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6,536
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$6,311
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$6,039
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5,269
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5,069

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-5,988
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-5,292
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-3,600
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-2,746
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-2,743
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-2,651
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-2,545
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-2,428
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-2,048
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.074
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
19.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.2m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
69.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 5.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading1.6 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
47.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.6%
Mid (20-55c)16%
High (>55c)12.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 4:27:47 PM133 trades$19,86012 min
3/31/2026, 3:53:29 PM130 trades$17,8315 min
5/15/2026, 2:30:19 PM24 trades$12,9753 min
6/23/2026, 6:02:46 PM116 trades$12,81821 min
4/3/2026, 5:00:31 PM2 trades$11,9710 min
5/16/2026, 9:47:12 AM68 trades$10,37320 min
4/3/2026, 5:06:17 PM214 trades$9,8121 min
6/12/2026, 4:03:21 PM7 trades$9,1150 min
6/14/2026, 9:00:22 AM75 trades$8,6033 min
6/6/2026, 4:35:46 PM193 trades$7,49511 min
4/21/2026, 1:52:04 PM97 trades$7,3731 min
4/22/2026, 5:33:32 AM86 trades$7,2812 min
4/10/2026, 3:28:25 PM7 trades$7,0350 min
6/30/2026, 5:15:46 PM2 trades$6,4890 min
6/6/2026, 7:26:33 AM123 trades$6,3199 min
5/9/2026, 6:26:59 AM110 trades$6,16439 min
6/9/2026, 3:37:42 PM42 trades$5,9740 min
6/13/2026, 8:56:55 AM140 trades$5,5527 min
3/31/2026, 4:19:07 PM65 trades$5,0970 min
6/19/2026, 6:08:07 PM3 trades$4,8840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-03
05-04
05-19
06-08
06-26
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 47.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.6 / M16 / H12.3