@PatienceIsKing

#203,60134

0xce49e892380976e950c00179f879b1dac581d7a1

~57d· 735 markets · 1708 tradesVol: $49,2952026-08-03 17:00:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (512/735)19.8/20
0.94x (win $2,960 / loss $3,134)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8920/15
Sortino -1.5350/10
$-0.0215 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (735 markets)10/10
21/56 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 277% of peak ($330 / $119)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+139
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#93,739$173Vol: $38,752
CRYPTO#1,346,576$-36Vol: $10,520
🌤️ WEATHER#43,797$2Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#205,819$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,295
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
735
total markets
Trades
1460B / 248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $370
Week
$1
Vol: $3,994
Month
$-5
Vol: $4,614
All Time
$139
Vol: $49,295

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
512W / 223L events
Realized PnL
$139
Win Rate
70%
512W / 223L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,581 (11.360873625978877% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,041
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5$354
IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5$186
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5$161
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5$64
FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5$51
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5$47
AA Ponte Preta vs. Goiás EC: O/U 3.5$38
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5$37
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5$34

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-238
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-176
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-149
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-68
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-62
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5$-48
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5$-43
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
20.8%
Half-Kelly
10.4%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.5m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active4.7 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)75.1%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 1:12:44 PM1 trades$2380 min
6/23/2026, 7:53:41 PM1 trades$1760 min
6/23/2026, 9:33:23 PM1 trades$1490 min
6/23/2026, 7:00:22 PM1 trades$990 min
5/14/2026, 6:58:25 AM15 trades$9716 min
5/7/2026, 6:51:45 AM18 trades$9617 min
6/23/2026, 6:15:53 PM1 trades$730 min
6/23/2026, 1:41:23 PM1 trades$680 min
5/12/2026, 7:43:21 AM9 trades$6411 min
6/24/2026, 3:39:26 AM11 trades$636 min
6/23/2026, 5:40:22 PM1 trades$620 min
6/23/2026, 10:27:50 AM1 trades$600 min
6/24/2026, 10:39:19 PM21 trades$5911 min
6/23/2026, 1:07:26 AM7 trades$599 min
6/22/2026, 6:58:34 PM4 trades$581 min
8/2/2026, 4:10:05 PM19 trades$5616 min
6/23/2026, 5:51:41 PM5 trades$555 min
7/18/2026, 2:04:30 AM9 trades$5113 min
5/13/2026, 5:39:27 AM11 trades$5110 min
5/12/2026, 6:49:50 AM9 trades$4914 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
05-08
06-15
06-28
07-15
07-24
08-02
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M11.2 / H75.1