@Paul.Dirac
#72,818980x2a57c798cebcd5f82008cfbd40fbbf6e47a91f06
~102d· 79 markets · 719 tradesVol: $49,1002026-08-04 17:18:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (45/60)20/20
3.20x (win $4,188 / loss $1,309)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.53815/15
Sortino 13.07810/10
$+0.1622 per $1 invested8.1/10
HHI 477 (60 markets)10/10
33/43 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($558 / $2,880)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+1,208
DCA Master
Avg 10.6 entries/market
Consistent
33/43 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#17,041$1,084Vol: $36,528
📈 ECONOMICS#8,965$175Vol: $6,962
₿ CRYPTO#1,426,591$-69Vol: $5,221
🎭 CULTURE#98,957$4Vol: $130
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,208
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,100
Total Redeem
$928
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
405B / 314S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d
Periods
#2Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $428
Month
$41
Vol: $685
All Time
$1,208
Vol: $49,100
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
45W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$1,208
Win Rate
75%
45W / 15L
Profit Factor
3.2x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-87
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,660 (1.3744071514298721% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$732
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$565
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$364
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$333
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$275
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$170
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$158
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$155
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?$147
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$93
Top Losers
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-658
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$-276
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-112
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$-111
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$-54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-21
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-19
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$-12
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.286
Sortino
0.374
HHI
557
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.153
Kelly %
44.9%
Half-Kelly
22.4%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
39.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1044s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)62%
Sessions
#125/2/2026, 5:52:50 PM9 trades$1,1711 min
4/5/2026, 6:07:03 PM6 trades$1,0772 min
4/2/2026, 4:46:45 PM8 trades$9373 min
4/15/2026, 4:01:34 AM5 trades$9031 min
4/3/2026, 1:09:05 PM19 trades$8561 min
7/24/2026, 9:58:09 AM7 trades$7811 min
12/15/2025, 11:22:45 AM4 trades$7525 min
4/6/2026, 11:45:51 AM6 trades$6911 min
7/24/2026, 11:56:30 AM15 trades$5395 min
4/3/2026, 2:17:17 PM10 trades$5060 min
11/10/2025, 12:37:40 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/2/2026, 5:05:27 PM7 trades$4751 min
7/14/2026, 6:11:05 AM4 trades$4630 min
4/16/2026, 8:49:58 AM14 trades$4282 min
7/11/2026, 7:20:46 PM9 trades$3821 min
4/21/2026, 10:26:16 PM4 trades$3721 min
4/14/2026, 3:51:59 PM3 trades$3620 min
4/5/2026, 2:05:27 PM2 trades$3600 min
4/23/2026, 6:08:30 PM8 trades$3261 min
4/9/2026, 8:41:51 AM15 trades$3254 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
03-12
03-25
04-08
04-18
05-19
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M28.1 / H62