@PaulCrown

#166,47562

0x6a032244b2a6fc327eef7ce92265deac8319d817

~32d· 112 markets · 151 tradesVol: $264,1802026-08-04 20:05:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (83/111)20/20
1.20x (win $1,323 / loss $1,100)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.35515/15
Sortino 4.91310/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2743 (111 markets)0/10
23/29 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($206 / $351)2.3/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+222
Whale
$148,076 invested
Consistent
23/29 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#639,480$-32Vol: $201,358
₿ CRYPTO#68,094$185Vol: $52,927
⚽ SPORTS#141,580$72Vol: $5,166
🎭 CULTURE#118,325$2Vol: $2,385
🏛️ POLITICS#230,278$4Vol: $1,226
💰 FINANCE#141,267$1Vol: $643
💻 TECH#55,364$1Vol: $168
📢 MENTIONS#130,943$-10Vol: $12
🌤️ WEATHER#103,727$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,180
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
121B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$222
Vol: $264,180

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
83W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$222
Win Rate
75%
83W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $373 (1.6805931133946277% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will $BTC reach 80k before October?$181
Vikings vs. Bears$96
49ers vs. Seahawks$96
Buccaneers vs. Falcons$95
Giants vs. Commanders$95
Cardinals vs. Saints$92
Lions vs. Packers$92
Texans vs. Rams$91
Steelers vs. Jets$90
Cubs vs. Pirates$51

Top Losers

Chiefs vs. Chargers$-155
Raiders vs. Patriots$-127
Ravens vs. Bills$-108
Dolphins vs. Colts$-100
Panthers vs. Jaguars$-54
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$-52
Blue Jays vs. Rays$-50
Yankees vs. Twins$-50
Reds vs. Cardinals$-50
Rangers vs. Astros$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.121
Sortino
0.148
HHI
2439
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
59.5%
Half-Kelly
29.7%
Top-1 market
35.3%
Top-5 markets
95.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 4.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.35
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)78.5%

Sessions

#12
10/28/2024, 4:11:43 AM14 trades$52,3898 min
9/8/2025, 8:54:40 PM9 trades$46,4453 min
9/12/2025, 3:57:21 PM3 trades$32,0990 min
10/28/2024, 6:17:40 AM3 trades$29,1195 min
9/23/2024, 3:44:06 PM4 trades$27,8226 min
9/26/2024, 12:51:05 AM4 trades$25,6774 min
10/28/2024, 5:50:02 AM3 trades$19,9531 min
9/12/2025, 2:50:45 PM1 trades$17,0000 min
10/28/2024, 5:57:32 AM6 trades$3,16213 min
9/5/2025, 5:56:18 PM15 trades$1,8716 min
9/9/2025, 9:24:28 AM2 trades$7930 min
9/20/2025, 12:33:34 AM3 trades$3943 min
9/15/2025, 9:54:50 PM7 trades$3503 min
9/8/2025, 4:22:16 PM14 trades$2802 min
2/27/2026, 5:22:58 AM1 trades$2030 min
1/19/2026, 7:35:20 PM1 trades$2020 min
4/22/2026, 2:53:20 PM2 trades$2020 min
3/12/2026, 10:42:31 PM1 trades$2010 min
10/9/2025, 10:50:18 PM2 trades$2011 min
8/15/2025, 5:08:50 PM2 trades$1931 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-23
11-10
01-19
05-12
09-11
09-20
01-19
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M20.7 / H78.5