@Paulig
#3,031,387370x2dbb83a1b46ce5fcd29dc07163571e1bf649f7ff
~68d· 282 markets · 3356 tradesVol: $207,0702026-08-04 18:54:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (192/282)19/20
0.71x (win $7,290 / loss $10,219)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8870/15
Sortino -1.9870/10
$-0.0411 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 170 (282 markets)10/10
39/64 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 573% of peak ($4,929 / $860)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 11.9 entries/market
Whale
$71,304 invested
Consistent
39/64 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🎭 CULTURE#812,112$-1,298Vol: $132,673
🌤️ WEATHER#298,762$-2,384Vol: $73,638
💰 FINANCE#22,821$65Vol: $499
🏛️ POLITICS#1,218,847$-7Vol: $260
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,625
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$207,070
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
2214B / 1142S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$38
Vol: $293
Month
$38
Vol: $293
All Time
$-3,625
Vol: $207,070
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
192W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$-3,625
Win Rate
68%
192W / 90L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-122
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,724 (0.4754823261998158% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$803
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$494
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?$426
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$357
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?$260
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$259
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?$231
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$213
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$204
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?$198
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-2,797
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-2,544
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?$-551
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?$-293
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-287
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$-259
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?$-168
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?$-158
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-137
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.070
HHI
196
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
23%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
39.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)69.1%
Sessions
#126/29/2026, 12:52:47 PM30 trades$2,3252 min
6/29/2026, 3:48:40 PM4 trades$2,0650 min
5/22/2026, 12:43:19 AM22 trades$1,9843 min
5/22/2026, 6:18:09 AM4 trades$1,5438 min
5/22/2026, 12:28:09 AM4 trades$1,5421 min
5/22/2026, 1:43:42 PM2 trades$1,4990 min
6/25/2026, 6:16:49 AM7 trades$1,3150 min
6/26/2026, 2:18:48 PM2 trades$1,2240 min
6/11/2026, 8:53:30 PM44 trades$1,15112 min
6/9/2026, 4:01:28 PM4 trades$1,1152 min
5/22/2026, 8:22:26 AM3 trades$1,1091 min
5/8/2026, 3:29:47 PM7 trades$1,06610 min
5/21/2026, 10:27:54 PM9 trades$1,0211 min
5/30/2026, 8:50:05 AM5 trades$1,0200 min
5/31/2026, 8:28:21 PM11 trades$8971 min
6/21/2026, 5:46:50 PM1 trades$8190 min
6/11/2026, 8:33:19 PM48 trades$8138 min
6/9/2026, 5:48:25 PM3 trades$7810 min
5/29/2026, 1:47:22 PM9 trades$7244 min
6/11/2026, 11:43:00 AM2 trades$6760 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
05-12
05-22
06-08
06-22
07-03
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M22.4 / H69.1