PigNuts

@PigNuts

#3,025,2630

0x8824dd5f3d6bf6d29d97b81d6396bf1e68975c8b

~29d· 32 markets · 113 tradesVol: $214,9532026-08-05 17:24:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (1/32)0/20
0.01x (win $19 / loss $3,286)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -25.3570/15
Sortino -15.2590/10
$-0.9718 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3950 (32 markets)0/10
0/20 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,267 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,647,547$-1,929Vol: $102,254
📈 ECONOMICS#678,347$-807Vol: $95,158
🏛️ POLITICS#1,540,230$-130Vol: $12,200
💻 TECH#241,840$-36Vol: $2,179
📢 MENTIONS#163,559$-98Vol: $1,627
🎭 CULTURE#754,248$-39Vol: $1,535

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,040
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$214,953
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
65B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
3%
1W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-3,040
Win Rate
3%
1W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (0.006221213317541782% of PnL)

Top Winners

US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?$19

Top Losers

Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in August?$-502
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?$-348
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?$-259
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$-218
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$-216
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?$-193
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$-165
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?$-130
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?$-106
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-101

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.294
Sortino
-1.294
HHI
601
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.972
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
43.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)96.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 9:58:58 PM14 trades$11,6584 min
4/14/2026, 9:28:54 PM24 trades$4,1470 min
6/29/2026, 4:12:53 PM9 trades$5250 min
2/18/2025, 4:45:35 PM5 trades$3476 min
7/16/2025, 4:59:16 PM4 trades$2792 min
8/13/2025, 3:12:37 PM3 trades$2264 min
6/24/2025, 9:58:51 PM3 trades$2042 min
7/29/2025, 3:48:45 PM1 trades$1970 min
7/6/2025, 1:06:13 PM1 trades$1530 min
11/16/2025, 11:19:21 PM1 trades$1500 min
7/31/2025, 4:23:10 PM5 trades$1336 min
8/4/2025, 1:36:14 PM1 trades$1240 min
7/21/2025, 9:14:43 PM3 trades$1232 min
9/20/2025, 3:40:00 PM2 trades$1201 min
6/24/2025, 10:22:33 PM1 trades$1160 min
12/9/2025, 6:12:18 PM2 trades$1090 min
7/12/2025, 1:41:32 AM2 trades$1010 min
8/3/2025, 8:05:22 PM1 trades$1000 min
8/22/2025, 11:46:44 AM3 trades$1001 min
8/22/2025, 12:00:52 PM1 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
07-21
08-21
08-30
12-09
02-23
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L96.9 / M3.1 / H0