Pitchforkk

@Pitchforkk

#8,13872

0x0a53282124062874b45d6489a95a26f62c6d7a6f

~343d· 698 markets · 6371 tradesVol: $1,495,7112026-08-05 17:01:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (331/675)9.5/20
1.64x (win $107,418 / loss $65,492)10.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.46615/15
Sortino 3.42310/10
$+0.1252 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 150 (675 markets)10/10
142/271 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($18,219 / $42,275)5.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+19,271
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$334,943 invested
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,141$20,635Vol: $1,196,181
SPORTS#43,452$800Vol: $124,867
🎭 CULTURE#811,570$-1,102Vol: $82,136
📈 ECONOMICS#672,745$-300Vol: $44,252
💰 FINANCE#654,782$-1,123Vol: $10,778
📢 MENTIONS#17,229$14Vol: $10,749
💻 TECH#22,882$6Vol: $8,122
CRYPTO#52,755$316Vol: $3,932
🌤️ WEATHER#7,069$101Vol: $483

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$19,271
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,495,711
Total Redeem
$4,136
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
698
total markets
Trades
4240B / 2131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~343d

Periods

#2
Today
$357
Vol: $10,179
Week
$555
Vol: $35,089
Month
$2,050
Vol: $43,199
All Time
$19,271
Vol: $1,495,711

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
331W / 344L events
Realized PnL
$19,271
Win Rate
49%
331W / 344L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$325
Avg Loss
$-194

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,256 (1.8294360249530135% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$23,347
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$6,369
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,540
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4,671
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$3,900
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$2,980
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$2,521
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$2,064
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2,027
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2,004

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-9,773
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-5,789
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$-4,849
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-3,639
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-2,037
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,702
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-1,642
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-1,199
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-1,176
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,031

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.077
Sortino
0.130
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 428s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)43.9%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 4:17:49 PM2 trades$12,5250 min
6/21/2026, 10:04:25 PM11 trades$7,7960 min
4/24/2026, 4:32:06 PM26 trades$7,3299 min
4/22/2026, 10:53:48 PM5 trades$4,9681 min
4/24/2026, 5:05:48 PM21 trades$4,7311 min
7/20/2026, 5:14:52 PM7 trades$4,6565 min
6/18/2026, 6:18:55 PM16 trades$4,4712 min
4/24/2026, 6:33:02 PM6 trades$3,6568 min
4/12/2026, 1:33:27 AM38 trades$3,6363 min
6/17/2026, 10:38:44 PM24 trades$3,31313 min
6/8/2026, 5:45:51 AM17 trades$3,20617 min
4/8/2026, 1:49:19 AM2 trades$3,0300 min
1/30/2026, 3:49:54 PM20 trades$2,9803 min
7/19/2026, 11:07:24 PM28 trades$2,6283 min
5/24/2026, 2:13:57 PM10 trades$2,4850 min
5/22/2026, 10:01:49 PM8 trades$2,4091 min
7/20/2026, 8:23:10 AM14 trades$2,3714 min
4/7/2026, 9:49:21 PM10 trades$2,3338 min
4/7/2026, 10:18:39 PM4 trades$2,2961 min
4/21/2026, 4:39:08 PM10 trades$2,2860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
08-27
11-17
02-02
04-13
06-08
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.5 / M28.6 / H43.9