@PreDictMania
#2,861,190260xcc700e74c4355476a60541a6c4b879f305a02194
~56d· 1313 markets · 2634 tradesVol: $65,8142026-08-04 20:09:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (707/1293)12.3/20
0.72x (win $2,035 / loss $2,844)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9100/15
Sortino -3.3950/10
$-0.0527 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 647 (1293 markets)9.3/10
23/47 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($856 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,571,645$-244Vol: $34,550
₿ CRYPTO#1,456,391$-92Vol: $16,627
🎭 CULTURE#765,263$-56Vol: $9,420
⚽ SPORTS#1,713,554$-141Vol: $3,306
💰 FINANCE#508,039$-2Vol: $1,184
💻 TECH#221,039$-6Vol: $241
📈 ECONOMICS#78,937$2Vol: $237
🌤️ WEATHER#225,733$-5Vol: $158
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-545
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,814
Total Redeem
$45
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1313
total markets
Trades
1662B / 972S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d
Periods
#2Today
$29
Vol: $1,981
Week
$-5
Vol: $5,031
Month
$92
Vol: $5,505
All Time
$-545
Vol: $65,814
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
707W / 586L events
Realized PnL
$-545
Win Rate
55%
707W / 586L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $609 (1.1171650136579463% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$230
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$194
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$186
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$140
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$115
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$98
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$91
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$59
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$51
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$51
Top Losers
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-340
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-266
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-187
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-181
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-176
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-162
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-142
BitBoy convicted?$-120
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-115
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-97
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.151
Sortino
-0.154
HHI
408
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
11.3%
Half-Kelly
5.7%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
37.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.9
Active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 4.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active7.9 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)62%
Sessions
#123/9/2026, 5:01:11 PM2 trades$2,3492 min
3/8/2026, 5:11:39 AM5 trades$8255 min
3/5/2026, 9:06:41 PM3 trades$8054 min
3/7/2026, 2:42:59 PM5 trades$6740 min
3/5/2026, 7:44:37 PM6 trades$6235 min
3/5/2026, 12:33:41 PM2 trades$5330 min
3/6/2026, 2:23:47 PM4 trades$4025 min
3/5/2026, 1:11:11 PM6 trades$4001 min
3/5/2026, 7:56:25 PM3 trades$3992 min
3/5/2026, 6:31:49 PM2 trades$3990 min
3/5/2026, 1:46:33 PM3 trades$3981 min
3/5/2026, 7:25:43 PM2 trades$3960 min
3/8/2026, 4:43:27 AM6 trades$3836 min
7/15/2026, 8:47:44 PM28 trades$3757 min
3/5/2026, 8:54:05 PM3 trades$3493 min
3/7/2026, 7:33:07 PM2 trades$3391 min
3/7/2026, 2:52:41 PM2 trades$3250 min
3/8/2026, 5:05:05 AM2 trades$3151 min
7/15/2026, 3:25:44 PM8 trades$3124 min
3/31/2026, 7:10:35 AM4 trades$2945 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-01
03-14
04-21
06-06
07-24
07-31
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M30.1 / H62