@PredictKitten
#86,849140xaa0229c1ca0d9c8be734409cb3a3a7747cac5b9a
~73d· 105 markets · 628 tradesVol: $148,1002026-08-06 18:01:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (37/97)4.1/20
0.40x (win $2,489 / loss $6,150)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7270/15
Sortino -3.8870/10
$-0.1213 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 899 (97 markets)8/10
15/40 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 1673% of peak ($4,315 / $258)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+893
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,625,697$-1,124Vol: $72,759
🏛️ POLITICS#7,673$3,757Vol: $45,127
🎭 CULTURE#813,728$-1,664Vol: $22,958
💰 FINANCE#33,904$30Vol: $4,461
🌤️ WEATHER#286,856$-113Vol: $2,614
💻 TECH#22,775$6Vol: $180
Overview
#1Net PnL
$893
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$148,100
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
428B / 200S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$92
Vol: $1,698
Month
$113
Vol: $1,698
All Time
$893
Vol: $148,100
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
37W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$893
Win Rate
38%
37W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-102
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,586 (1.7765915735938254% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$815
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$396
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9AM ET$375
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1PM ET$141
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$74
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$61
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 6AM ET$58
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$50
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$50
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,235
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$-1,513
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-416
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$-389
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 1PM ET$-382
Weed rescheduled by June 30?$-329
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$-182
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$-101
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10PM ET$-55
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.193
Sortino
-0.173
HHI
823
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
54.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 220s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)47%
Sessions
#125/25/2026, 2:31:46 PM9 trades$2,9972 min
7/15/2026, 12:44:23 PM3 trades$2,7722 min
12/29/2025, 9:11:05 PM4 trades$1,7814 min
3/23/2026, 7:29:19 PM1 trades$1,5800 min
7/25/2026, 2:24:18 AM1 trades$1,5690 min
5/25/2026, 5:10:55 PM5 trades$1,3353 min
5/28/2026, 6:10:05 PM7 trades$1,2250 min
5/28/2026, 6:21:27 PM1 trades$1,2110 min
7/29/2026, 7:35:02 PM1 trades$1,1600 min
11/20/2025, 2:13:37 PM6 trades$1,0753 min
6/1/2026, 4:23:38 PM8 trades$1,0601 min
2/19/2026, 9:17:34 PM2 trades$9430 min
5/30/2026, 11:12:25 PM1 trades$8930 min
8/2/2026, 2:36:06 AM3 trades$8490 min
12/23/2025, 10:21:53 AM8 trades$76711 min
6/2/2026, 8:05:27 AM17 trades$76114 min
4/17/2026, 8:00:16 PM4 trades$7290 min
12/22/2025, 7:34:39 AM3 trades$7185 min
8/4/2026, 3:46:48 PM7 trades$6960 min
7/25/2026, 5:49:37 AM1 trades$6830 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
11-21
11-27
12-13
12-29
02-22
05-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 184 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.3 / M17.8 / H47