@PredictionHallofFame
#6,630240x42f4d88e2a48c25ba572e7b986b24697615c04c6
~14d· 118 markets · 1445 tradesVol: $4,073,9172026-08-04 19:09:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (90/118)20/20
0.16x (win $4,325 / loss $27,678)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.8120/15
Sortino -8.0260/10
$-0.0141 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1723 (118 markets)3.9/10
3/14 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 2090% of peak ($24,527 / $1,174)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+24,304
DCA Master
Avg 16.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,661,954 invested
High Roller
$22,159/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#2,393$24,296Vol: $4,071,898
₿ CRYPTO#291,662$5Vol: $1,015
🏛️ POLITICS#251,742$3Vol: $1,004
Overview
#1Net PnL
$24,304
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,073,917
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
997B / 448S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
90W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$24,304
Win Rate
76%
90W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-1,538
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,240 (0.09216641814872235% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,062
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$672
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$506
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$430
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$311
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$208
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$204
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$200
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$83
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5$80
Top Losers
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,314
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,302
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,344
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,173
Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$-2,058
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-836
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-502
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-334
Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$-200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-167
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.445
Sortino
-0.380
HHI
3947
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
58.1%
Top-5 markets
98.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 6.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)58% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule19 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.94
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.9%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 2:43:08 AM417 trades$815,21993 min
6/27/2026, 10:41:44 PM81 trades$211,12828 min
6/27/2026, 10:21:10 PM31 trades$201,7437 min
6/27/2026, 4:48:13 AM108 trades$148,85825 min
6/27/2026, 1:47:02 AM27 trades$128,0730 min
7/15/2026, 8:43:01 PM46 trades$86,0994 min
6/28/2026, 1:10:59 AM51 trades$60,53324 min
6/29/2026, 6:44:46 PM12 trades$54,36121 min
6/29/2026, 4:56:19 PM91 trades$43,02643 min
6/29/2026, 5:47:05 PM53 trades$32,14031 min
6/29/2026, 7:49:07 PM5 trades$24,9883 min
7/15/2026, 9:23:10 PM13 trades$18,35622 min
6/29/2026, 8:26:44 PM27 trades$14,5208 min
6/29/2026, 7:36:05 PM4 trades$12,2824 min
6/29/2026, 3:50:08 PM52 trades$12,09555 min
6/29/2026, 3:34:13 PM7 trades$11,16510 min
6/27/2026, 9:59:47 PM1 trades$9,9900 min
6/28/2026, 2:19:58 AM33 trades$7,95817 min
7/5/2026, 9:42:05 PM1 trades$6,3200 min
7/15/2026, 8:52:38 PM20 trades$5,1409 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
06-27
06-29
07-01
07-05
07-07
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0 / H99.9