@PredictoMaximo
#2,858,268350xb37acdb8169482346c9762f47fa942fff5d0f7e9
~37d· 25 markets · 123 tradesVol: $7,7942026-08-04 20:40:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (16/24)18.3/20
0.19x (win $123 / loss $644)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2590/15
Sortino -4.1720/10
$-0.2475 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 847 (24 markets)8.3/10
13/20 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 9032% of peak ($602 / $7)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
13/20 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,513$-604Vol: $5,094
💰 FINANCE#574,546$-10Vol: $1,617
₿ CRYPTO#163,206$27Vol: $366
🎭 CULTURE#42,159$27Vol: $247
📈 ECONOMICS#550,912$-3Vol: $229
💻 TECH#12,089$24Vol: $214
📢 MENTIONS#23,579$6Vol: $28
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-533
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,794
Total Redeem
$32
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
89B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-533
Vol: $7,794
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
16W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-533
Win Rate
67%
16W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51 (0.09524702704730466% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?$22
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $15
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$14
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$12
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?$11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$9
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?$8
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?$6
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?$6
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$5
Top Losers
Trump wins every swing state?$-373
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-154
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-75
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$-30
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?$-4
Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?$-3
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$-3
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-0.134
HHI
554
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
40.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 966s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.25
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.1%
High (>55c)52.8%
Sessions
#1211/5/2024, 7:53:57 PM3 trades$4243 min
7/6/2026, 4:09:32 PM10 trades$3692 min
12/28/2024, 9:34:04 AM3 trades$1000 min
12/26/2025, 5:28:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/2/2025, 10:34:29 PM18 trades$9427 min
1/3/2025, 1:53:49 PM1 trades$900 min
7/14/2025, 7:20:18 PM1 trades$880 min
1/3/2026, 8:25:39 PM1 trades$820 min
11/5/2024, 3:11:51 PM1 trades$750 min
1/4/2025, 5:25:25 PM3 trades$743 min
10/25/2024, 10:02:45 PM1 trades$730 min
7/6/2026, 4:23:23 PM2 trades$710 min
1/6/2026, 12:28:23 AM1 trades$670 min
2/19/2025, 2:16:12 AM1 trades$640 min
1/10/2025, 6:32:04 PM1 trades$500 min
1/2/2026, 9:36:35 AM1 trades$480 min
1/7/2025, 7:10:03 PM1 trades$470 min
4/5/2026, 7:25:53 PM2 trades$470 min
12/25/2024, 8:11:42 PM1 trades$400 min
12/25/2024, 8:26:35 PM1 trades$400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-07
11-05
01-02
01-07
02-24
03-24
01-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.1 / M37.1 / H52.8