@Presumably
#2,991,24180x17ede7c3f9c31b2185161672139c0fd5013234c7
~12d· 107 markets · 1744 tradesVol: $80,1852026-08-04 22:24:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (46/102)7.5/20
0.60x (win $4,515 / loss $7,466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.4180/15
Sortino -9.1590/10
$-0.2152 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5734 (102 markets)0/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 9415% of peak ($2,983 / $32)0/10
Badges
1DCA Master
Avg 16.7 entries/market
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,858$-535Vol: $47,280
₿ CRYPTO#1,627,405$-1,230Vol: $29,045
🎭 CULTURE#64,372$11Vol: $2,063
💰 FINANCE#580,939$-12Vol: $1,419
⚽ SPORTS#1,713,540$-143Vol: $234
📈 ECONOMICS#533,477$-2Vol: $122
💻 TECH#185,946$-1Vol: $21
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,913
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,185
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
410B / 1334S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,913
Vol: $80,185
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
46W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-1,913
Win Rate
45%
46W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-144
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,267 (0.662332162128247% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$454
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$434
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$379
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$301
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$301
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$252
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$174
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$174
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-862
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$-783
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-604
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$-500
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-378
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-350
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-294
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-287
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-281
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.514
Sortino
-0.453
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.237
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
21.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
83.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.3
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule83 trades/day — mass trading5.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)58.8%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 10:19:08 AM25 trades$30,4128 min
6/17/2026, 7:36:14 PM30 trades$12,77217 min
6/15/2026, 1:28:18 PM200 trades$4,17236 min
6/15/2026, 8:49:25 AM67 trades$2,35217 min
6/14/2026, 10:21:55 AM176 trades$2,07626 min
6/12/2026, 1:26:40 PM46 trades$2,02620 min
6/12/2026, 2:48:58 PM79 trades$1,8983 min
6/12/2026, 2:06:51 PM82 trades$1,85819 min
6/14/2026, 9:22:09 AM165 trades$1,78225 min
6/14/2026, 9:54:12 AM121 trades$1,63622 min
6/12/2026, 4:13:28 PM112 trades$1,60119 min
6/14/2026, 9:07:40 AM70 trades$1,4619 min
6/25/2026, 12:45:10 PM13 trades$1,4120 min
6/18/2026, 11:25:19 AM23 trades$1,11313 min
6/17/2026, 10:51:37 AM50 trades$1,10116 min
6/12/2026, 1:55:39 PM35 trades$8906 min
6/17/2026, 10:35:38 AM11 trades$8680 min
6/15/2026, 10:15:49 PM7 trades$8453 min
6/15/2026, 2:46:12 PM32 trades$7051 min
6/17/2026, 3:30:05 PM11 trades$6610 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-17
06-18
06-20
06-23
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M27.1 / H58.8