@PrognosticatorOfPraha
#3,041,527130xb98b176859c2b375cf06c1c4974e46ed69cd7e18
~549d· 1887 markets · 11518 tradesVol: $2,263,1252026-08-04 13:30:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (429/1853)0/20
0.91x (win $61,362 / loss $67,290)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6120/15
Sortino -0.9070/10
$-0.0446 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 160 (1853 markets)10/10
162/469 profitable days (35%)1.1/10
Max DD 1014% of peak ($11,022 / $1,087)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
Whale
$133,036 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,807,332$-630Vol: $1,255,666
📈 ECONOMICS#681,210$-2,530Vol: $650,610
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,208$-2,954Vol: $212,258
🎭 CULTURE#4,232$1,293Vol: $112,199
💰 FINANCE#23,485$61Vol: $7,879
🌤️ WEATHER#294,584$-410Vol: $7,250
📢 MENTIONS#168,191$-175Vol: $2,554
₿ CRYPTO#1,092,586$-7Vol: $2,253
💻 TECH#6,772$79Vol: $1,500
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,903
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,263,125
Total Redeem
$2,444
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1887
total markets
Trades
9196B / 2322S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~549d
Periods
#2Today
$15
Vol: $2,115
Week
$-124
Vol: $6,544
Month
$-368
Vol: $19,811
All Time
$-4,903
Vol: $2,263,125
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
429W / 1424L events
Realized PnL
$-4,847
Win Rate
23%
429W / 1424L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-48
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,921 (1.6343028449874863% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$2,990
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$2,947
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)$1,985
Justin Fields Week 1 starter for Steelers?$1,488
Pacers vs. Knicks$1,471
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1,119
76ers vs. Celtics$1,088
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,050
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?$997
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$947
Top Losers
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)$-2,441
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)$-1,917
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1,646
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-1,402
Will USC beat Michigan by 5 or more points?$-1,000
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?$-923
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-886
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon by 4 or more points?$-752
Celtics vs. 76ers$-718
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-694
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
15.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 6.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.16
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)76.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)4.4%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 5:30:23 PM12 trades$20,0001 min
7/25/2026, 8:54:45 AM63 trades$16,4903 min
7/29/2026, 6:36:36 PM9 trades$11,2955 min
7/22/2026, 9:44:25 AM545 trades$8,97314 min
7/26/2026, 9:11:18 AM4 trades$6,0000 min
7/25/2026, 9:06:12 AM30 trades$4,5807 min
5/16/2026, 10:20:05 AM2 trades$2,3000 min
9/26/2025, 3:39:18 AM3 trades$1,8331 min
7/25/2026, 7:14:37 AM35 trades$1,5783 min
5/21/2025, 9:36:07 PM5 trades$1,5292 min
8/8/2025, 2:37:01 AM2 trades$1,5221 min
7/28/2026, 1:18:28 PM2 trades$1,5200 min
11/29/2025, 7:57:57 PM8 trades$1,50711 min
7/27/2026, 8:41:06 PM9 trades$1,4540 min
4/3/2026, 3:23:15 AM2 trades$1,4000 min
6/18/2026, 6:31:47 AM45 trades$1,24811 min
5/13/2025, 9:36:18 PM2 trades$1,1442 min
5/18/2026, 2:09:37 AM11 trades$1,0064 min
7/12/2025, 12:04:34 PM2 trades$1,0050 min
9/21/2024, 1:22:24 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-24
12-06
05-02
08-06
11-05
01-31
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 604 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.7 / M18.9 / H4.4