@Puppymarket

#2,864,73219

0x14f5a34e28e06f7c4be00ce03e4779cd5d1631a3

~40d· 1127 markets · 2021 tradesVol: $32,0702026-08-04 23:02:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (509/1125)7.6/20
0.51x (win $1,916 / loss $3,763)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7110/15
Sortino -4.6030/10
$-0.2635 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 807 (1125 markets)8.5/10
13/31 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 7682% of peak ($1,871 / $24)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
89% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

5
💻 TECH#252,331$-170Vol: $13,215
₿ CRYPTO#1,429,036$-70Vol: $9,807
💰 FINANCE#647,403$-353Vol: $8,437
📈 ECONOMICS#49,105$7Vol: $216
🏛️ POLITICS#321,594$1Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-560
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,070
Total Redeem
$1,210
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1127
total markets
Trades
1809B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-560
Vol: $32,070

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
510W / 615L events
Realized PnL
$-560
Win Rate
45%
510W / 615L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $243 (0.43418586803262593% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$101
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$12

Top Losers

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$-1,312
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-225
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$-113
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$-69
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?$-42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.193
HHI
358
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.260
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
35.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.6m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 5.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)85.4%
High (>55c)11.5%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 5:47:51 AM10 trades$2,1885 min
6/13/2026, 12:03:24 AM8 trades$1,5252 min
5/19/2026, 5:24:13 PM31 trades$8480 min
6/23/2026, 10:59:38 AM24 trades$6135 min
5/19/2026, 5:37:43 PM2 trades$5430 min
6/23/2026, 11:34:11 AM7 trades$3680 min
6/24/2026, 7:45:11 AM7 trades$3080 min
6/10/2026, 9:17:00 AM10 trades$26610 min
6/23/2026, 11:35:32 PM7 trades$2220 min
3/31/2026, 8:40:01 AM54 trades$15180 min
6/11/2026, 11:46:13 AM8 trades$992 min
5/22/2026, 5:31:23 PM1 trades$990 min
4/30/2026, 12:54:44 PM28 trades$941 min
3/30/2026, 12:44:24 PM27 trades$7839 min
3/30/2026, 5:20:03 PM30 trades$7355 min
3/31/2026, 12:06:41 AM27 trades$7217 min
6/10/2026, 9:32:31 AM4 trades$654 min
4/18/2026, 8:25:18 AM2 trades$630 min
5/18/2026, 6:09:20 AM3 trades$630 min
3/30/2026, 2:17:35 PM29 trades$6031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
03-20
03-31
05-02
05-08
06-10
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.1 / M85.4 / H11.5