@PythiaETH5m

#148,27186

0x337162cc904030b0472d2b82c5e9dc65009f75ac

~56d· 298 markets · 1164 tradesVol: $80,9672026-08-05 02:23:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (269/298)20/20
1.73x (win $697 / loss $402)11.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.61215/15
Sortino 7.48110/10
$+0.0112 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 45 (298 markets)10/10
45/51 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($76 / $295)8.8/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+294
Consistent
45/51 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
44 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#3,791$307Vol: $80,812
CRYPTO#1,238,010$-17Vol: $155

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,967
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
298
total markets
Trades
966B / 198S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $150
Week
$16
Vol: $3,527
Month
$-27
Vol: $4,688
All Time
$289
Vol: $80,967

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
269W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$294
Win Rate
90%
269W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (0.17090265727603685% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12?$18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?$17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 12?$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?$12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 12?$12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 26?$11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 8?$9
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?$8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12?$7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 12?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?$-85
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?$-71
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 7?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?$-20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.291
Sortino
0.278
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1043s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.5 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)96.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:32:07 AM12 trades$1950 min
6/19/2026, 6:09:50 AM7 trades$1920 min
6/19/2026, 4:09:43 PM3 trades$1765 min
6/14/2026, 5:11:43 AM4 trades$1715 min
6/19/2026, 10:00:04 AM6 trades$1672 min
6/13/2026, 7:19:12 AM9 trades$1652 min
6/17/2026, 8:54:14 PM3 trades$1605 min
6/13/2026, 8:40:04 AM13 trades$1480 min
6/11/2026, 10:51:31 PM2 trades$1300 min
6/14/2026, 4:42:48 AM2 trades$1300 min
6/14/2026, 3:57:18 PM2 trades$1300 min
6/12/2026, 1:28:15 PM2 trades$1264 min
6/4/2026, 6:13:21 AM10 trades$1257 min
6/12/2026, 8:27:40 PM3 trades$1240 min
6/15/2026, 8:04:58 AM2 trades$1245 min
6/6/2026, 9:30:24 AM2 trades$1200 min
6/12/2026, 8:15:18 PM5 trades$1200 min
6/13/2026, 7:21:28 PM2 trades$1171 min
7/18/2026, 10:52:10 PM2 trades$1160 min
7/23/2026, 5:39:52 PM2 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
06-09
06-17
06-28
07-08
07-19
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M3.6 / H96.3