@QuantMaverick

#2,697,30037

0x0cfd0aa04bd954585d406b72fb3efde5c0339813

~18d· 33 markets · 87 tradesVol: $12,0642026-08-04 20:39:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (23/33)19.8/20
0.87x (win $704 / loss $806)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3510/15
Sortino -1.7310/10
$-0.0214 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 475 (33 markets)10/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($200 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,532,856$-195Vol: $5,092
🎭 CULTURE#44,103$25Vol: $4,423
💰 FINANCE#20,922$77Vol: $1,636
💻 TECH#248,676$-97Vol: $913

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,064
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
46B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
23W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-190
Win Rate
70%
23W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $278 (1.4599590400672162% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$118
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$97
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$63
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$57
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$47
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$24
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$23

Top Losers

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-150
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-109
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-76
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$-72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-49
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.095
HHI
481
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)76.1%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 2:52:40 AM8 trades$5553 min
12/4/2025, 3:56:23 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/4/2026, 7:05:26 AM2 trades$5002 min
6/25/2026, 2:23:23 AM15 trades$3620 min
12/8/2025, 10:28:23 PM1 trades$3170 min
12/9/2025, 4:01:04 PM3 trades$3033 min
12/8/2025, 2:47:57 AM1 trades$2700 min
12/5/2025, 5:27:51 PM2 trades$2503 min
1/17/2026, 9:35:10 AM4 trades$2468 min
12/5/2025, 4:49:45 PM1 trades$2340 min
12/7/2025, 1:06:55 AM1 trades$2240 min
4/8/2026, 11:35:35 PM2 trades$2070 min
12/5/2025, 6:29:01 AM1 trades$2000 min
5/15/2026, 3:02:35 AM3 trades$1720 min
12/9/2025, 3:15:29 AM2 trades$1503 min
1/7/2026, 6:40:05 AM1 trades$1500 min
1/18/2026, 3:41:00 PM3 trades$1501 min
1/17/2026, 9:21:30 AM3 trades$1234 min
5/28/2026, 5:55:33 AM2 trades$1210 min
4/1/2026, 4:00:53 PM2 trades$1150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-05
12-08
12-10
01-17
02-04
05-15
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13 / M10.9 / H76.1