@Quilty

#3,020,01625

0xee257b00fdc660243235dce9d909af16bdef7cd3

~195d· 292 markets · 9952 tradesVol: $962,7352026-08-04 19:05:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (136/275)9.7/20
0.77x (win $41,539 / loss $54,010)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0740/15
Sortino -1.3200/10
$-0.0748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 142 (275 markets)10/10
62/125 profitable days (50%)4.9/10
Max DD 453% of peak ($21,598 / $4,766)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 44.7 entries/market
Whale
$166,784 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#19,430$879Vol: $847,654
CRYPTO#1,660,124$-2,800Vol: $63,051
💰 FINANCE#653,643$-937Vol: $32,180
📈 ECONOMICS#6,739$282Vol: $2,639
SPORTS#1,763,545$-282Vol: $2,100
🎭 CULTURE#44,754$24Vol: $1,530
📢 MENTIONS#159,270$-63Vol: $1,502

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,843
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$962,735
Total Redeem
$35
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
292
total markets
Trades
6389B / 3563S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $264
Week
$-53
Vol: $1,755
Month
$-150
Vol: $1,997
All Time
$-2,843
Vol: $962,735

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
135W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$-2,843
Win Rate
49%
135W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$305
Avg Loss
$-391

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,139 (6.3812539136430475% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,807
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5,848
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5,484
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$2,870
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?$2,235
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2,167
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$1,625
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$771
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$732
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$662

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-5,642
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-5,132
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-4,851
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-3,019
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-2,674
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,554
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-2,459
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,364
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-2,202
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$-2,138

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 2.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)47.5%

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 10:21:44 PM3 trades$3,9570 min
4/7/2026, 10:44:05 PM32 trades$3,75615 min
4/7/2026, 11:34:33 PM7 trades$3,0042 min
1/14/2026, 2:16:12 AM7 trades$2,5997 min
4/4/2026, 10:46:37 PM2 trades$2,4460 min
1/30/2026, 5:01:26 AM4 trades$2,0287 min
5/4/2026, 3:27:26 PM77 trades$1,90861 min
2/4/2026, 5:27:43 PM13 trades$1,8714 min
4/7/2026, 4:55:13 PM35 trades$1,76518 min
1/13/2026, 3:05:25 PM2 trades$1,6951 min
1/16/2026, 1:37:34 AM6 trades$1,6629 min
2/10/2026, 6:48:39 PM15 trades$1,59719 min
6/14/2026, 12:07:36 PM14 trades$1,5754 min
4/1/2026, 1:21:09 AM13 trades$1,5412 min
6/17/2026, 3:52:05 PM16 trades$1,5373 min
6/8/2026, 12:08:46 PM8 trades$1,4955 min
4/29/2026, 4:42:02 PM19 trades$1,4898 min
6/7/2026, 10:29:03 AM5 trades$1,4780 min
1/15/2026, 7:04:06 PM4 trades$1,3990 min
4/8/2026, 11:41:57 PM25 trades$1,3627 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
01-21
02-13
03-12
04-09
05-11
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.3 / M25.2 / H47.5