REDJupiter

@REDJupiter

#3,032,88613

0x5572500002bc495269a0f0320b35802c8445984e

~142d· 887 markets · 6366 tradesVol: $1,806,5512026-08-04 22:41:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (111/887)0/20
1.01x (win $38,510 / loss $38,254)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0250.5/15
Sortino 0.0560.6/10
$+0.0034 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 724 (887 markets)8.9/10
33/110 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($22,353 / $14,858)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Whale
$74,359 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,672,226$-8,552Vol: $905,506
🏛️ POLITICS#4,233$8,721Vol: $540,569
SPORTS#1,855,032$-2,062Vol: $127,514
🎭 CULTURE#812,206$-1,316Vol: $123,976
📈 ECONOMICS#674,558$-405Vol: $88,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,745
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,806,551
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
887
total markets
Trades
5570B / 796S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
111W / 776L events
Realized PnL
$-3,745
Win Rate
13%
111W / 776L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$347
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,442 (6.5258273371690985% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$15,079
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8,052
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?$1,311
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?$1,170
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?$828
Jazz vs. Grizzlies$722
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 14?$615
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?$504
Will CD Nacional win on 2025-12-13?$496
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$462

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-3,886
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 30?$-3,401
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-2,833
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 29?$-1,424
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-1,218
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?$-1,169
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-13?$-1,148
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?$-895
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2?$-851
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 14?$-791

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.003
HHI
787
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
50.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 8.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.8%
Mid (20-55c)7.8%
High (>55c)2.5%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 5:55:16 AM5 trades$20,0002 min
5/9/2026, 6:45:05 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/1/2025, 9:35:11 PM4 trades$14,6973 min
6/1/2025, 9:16:17 PM10 trades$13,9531 min
5/9/2026, 8:29:02 AM4 trades$10,2001 min
5/13/2026, 2:42:12 AM5 trades$8,8894 min
4/9/2026, 11:46:47 AM20 trades$6,3403 min
5/5/2026, 6:16:32 AM2 trades$4,5460 min
12/16/2025, 6:37:03 PM1 trades$3,5350 min
5/26/2025, 4:48:21 PM1 trades$3,3770 min
6/21/2026, 8:40:23 AM41 trades$3,0576 min
11/29/2025, 4:54:17 PM1 trades$3,0470 min
5/29/2025, 11:07:35 PM1 trades$3,0320 min
12/13/2025, 3:14:59 AM6 trades$2,93110 min
10/19/2025, 8:26:13 PM1 trades$2,8140 min
11/21/2025, 4:47:53 AM2 trades$2,7261 min
4/26/2026, 11:56:16 PM3 trades$2,6800 min
4/1/2026, 6:56:39 AM58 trades$2,40635 min
5/26/2025, 10:37:59 AM2 trades$2,3865 min
5/25/2025, 10:56:06 PM1 trades$2,1920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
09-27
11-23
01-21
04-09
05-12
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 336 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.8 / M7.8 / H2.5