@RFTurtle

#2,458,7026

0x1e6aae3555b9520b451003b808182455ebb45afd

~18d· 25 markets · 44 tradesVol: $9462026-08-05 04:01:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (5/18)0/20
0.33x (win $29 / loss $87)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7340/15
Sortino -7.6590/10
$-0.3559 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1336 (18 markets)5.8/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 954% of peak ($65 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,532,642$-32Vol: $431
🏛️ POLITICS#270,634$2Vol: $293
🎭 CULTURE#751,469$-38Vol: $139
🌤️ WEATHER#219,544$-3Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$946
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
35B / 9S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $240
Month
$-0
Vol: $240
All Time
$-72
Vol: $946

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
5W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-72
Win Rate
28%
5W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (0.39809181415929207% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$14
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$8
Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$7
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$0
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$0

Top Losers

Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?$-38
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-13
Seahawks vs. Patriots$-10
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-7
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$-4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?$-3
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$-2
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$-2
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.386
Sortino
-0.436
HHI
865
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.468
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.3%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.72
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)48.6%
High (>55c)11.4%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 2:48:30 AM5 trades$1042 min
2/6/2026, 1:49:49 PM2 trades$243 min
10/28/2024, 6:01:12 PM4 trades$211 min
10/31/2024, 12:44:08 PM4 trades$142 min
2/9/2026, 6:24:41 AM1 trades$140 min
2/3/2026, 6:40:38 PM1 trades$110 min
2/3/2026, 6:14:18 PM1 trades$100 min
2/3/2026, 8:09:38 PM1 trades$100 min
2/6/2026, 2:14:07 PM1 trades$100 min
2/19/2026, 6:12:40 PM2 trades$94 min
10/3/2024, 1:22:26 AM1 trades$80 min
7/10/2026, 1:34:28 AM1 trades$70 min
2/19/2026, 7:28:22 PM2 trades$61 min
2/11/2026, 6:55:55 AM1 trades$60 min
11/6/2024, 12:06:05 AM2 trades$51 min
5/12/2026, 12:36:37 AM4 trades$51 min
7/29/2024, 6:28:29 PM2 trades$40 min
9/13/2024, 12:59:56 PM2 trades$43 min
2/19/2026, 7:46:06 PM1 trades$20 min
7/25/2024, 9:57:33 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-26
07-29
07-31
09-13
10-28
10-31
11-06
02-03
02-06
02-19
02-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 574 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L40 / M48.6 / H11.4