RT-Portfolio

@RT-Portfolio

#23,20024

0xac116fa0dd9ee9b9a48313ee28034ed904169d3a

~98d· 90 markets · 837 tradesVol: $313,7322026-08-04 18:59:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (41/89)8/20
0.96x (win $39,782 / loss $41,354)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1830/15
Sortino -0.2030/10
$-0.0206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 593 (89 markets)9.5/10
26/54 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($25,149 / $15,958)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+5,574
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Whale
$76,326 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

7
📢 MENTIONS#176,842$-11,816Vol: $127,901
SPORTS#5,981$8,783Vol: $67,700
🏛️ POLITICS#13,439$1,580Vol: $61,333
📈 ECONOMICS#1,438$3,207Vol: $35,887
🎭 CULTURE#2,901$2,209Vol: $12,130
💰 FINANCE#643,813$-235Vol: $6,443
🌤️ WEATHER#1,001$1,847Vol: $2,339

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$313,732
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
636B / 201S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,574
Vol: $313,732

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
41W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$5,574
Win Rate
46%
41W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$970
Avg Loss
$-862

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,388 (2.401666884923589% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6,340
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3,699
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$3,349
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2,957
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,600
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2,290
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$1,874
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,821
US military action against Iran before July?$1,635
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$1,584

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-16,776
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,900
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-2,820
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-2,709
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-1,805
Spread: United States (-1.5)$-1,320
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-1,112
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-896
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-858
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-786

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
636
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
47.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.3
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.5%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)44.7%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 5:21:49 PM13 trades$10,13010 min
5/15/2026, 5:44:13 PM9 trades$8,17715 min
3/5/2026, 6:51:53 AM6 trades$6,6076 min
5/14/2026, 3:07:30 AM3 trades$6,1420 min
5/15/2026, 4:25:31 AM42 trades$5,4975 min
7/6/2026, 6:27:22 PM1 trades$4,8350 min
3/2/2026, 6:42:29 PM17 trades$2,64812 min
5/15/2026, 4:36:55 AM18 trades$2,3494 min
5/15/2026, 7:30:50 AM11 trades$1,7000 min
6/13/2025, 2:35:47 PM9 trades$1,54211 min
4/16/2026, 6:04:10 PM1 trades$1,4600 min
5/18/2026, 6:29:31 AM2 trades$1,4340 min
6/25/2026, 8:14:43 PM2 trades$1,3160 min
5/16/2026, 11:29:35 AM2 trades$1,3160 min
6/19/2026, 9:13:53 PM6 trades$1,2880 min
4/18/2026, 8:31:30 AM4 trades$1,2001 min
11/5/2025, 8:00:57 AM3 trades$1,1886 min
5/14/2026, 3:59:27 AM12 trades$1,10411 min
6/22/2026, 5:10:55 PM6 trades$1,0404 min
3/2/2026, 5:06:37 PM7 trades$1,0200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
07-31
01-30
04-28
06-04
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.5 / M35.8 / H44.7