@Raikage

#2,804,0580

0xe67d672e74dac9a09f0d20f3b443090d1a4c8180

~41d· 124 markets · 793 tradesVol: $594,1142026-08-05 16:40:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (33/120)0/20
0.63x (win $2,333 / loss $3,731)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4530/15
Sortino -2.8910/10
$-0.1315 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2489 (120 markets)0.1/10
7/35 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 217% of peak ($2,590 / $1,191)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,695,951$-116Vol: $554,574
🎭 CULTURE#733,495$-24Vol: $16,246
🏛️ POLITICS#1,426,099$-32Vol: $6,530
₿ CRYPTO#1,501,712$-131Vol: $5,162
💻 TECH#232,763$-15Vol: $3,141
📈 ECONOMICS#586,487$-7Vol: $3,057
🌤️ WEATHER#254,350$-15Vol: $2,732
💰 FINANCE#529,672$-4Vol: $2,092
📢 MENTIONS#112,225$-5Vol: $581

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-348
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$594,114
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
317B / 476S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
33W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-348
Win Rate
28%
33W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,328 (3.812001148435257% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$502
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$463
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$363
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$342
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$317
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$45
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$19

Top Losers

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,336
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-492
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-260
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-199
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-183
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$-120
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?$-118
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-83
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.127
Sortino
-0.142
HHI
8376
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
15.0%
Half-Kelly
7.5%
Top-1 market
88.1%
Top-5 markets
129.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 367s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)22.7%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 3:10:31 AM16 trades$6,4634 min
7/3/2026, 8:56:19 PM5 trades$5,1720 min
6/30/2026, 3:21:26 AM19 trades$4,8818 min
6/30/2026, 2:36:04 AM8 trades$3,9884 min
7/5/2026, 9:45:16 PM24 trades$3,8585 min
6/30/2026, 3:46:55 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/14/2026, 1:37:36 PM2 trades$1,4290 min
6/30/2026, 3:54:04 AM6 trades$1,2940 min
7/7/2026, 10:48:22 PM4 trades$1,2682 min
7/5/2026, 10:46:52 AM2 trades$1,2570 min
7/1/2026, 12:46:26 AM15 trades$1,1190 min
7/9/2026, 4:53:17 PM2 trades$1,0910 min
6/30/2026, 2:56:26 AM2 trades$1,0750 min
7/1/2026, 11:59:52 AM2 trades$9000 min
7/3/2026, 12:55:34 AM12 trades$8810 min
7/1/2026, 4:38:13 PM5 trades$7471 min
7/1/2026, 10:32:19 PM25 trades$6919 min
6/30/2026, 6:54:13 PM7 trades$5865 min
7/5/2026, 10:43:22 PM5 trades$5671 min
7/3/2026, 1:21:55 AM9 trades$5120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-17
11-24
12-10
06-08
06-16
06-29
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.6 / M16.7 / H22.7