RajahSingh

@RajahSingh

#2,883,28434

0x85e7e44e1b2eda0e6de42ad5c8c25f2c9daf5e49

~159d· 96 markets · 1432 tradesVol: $103,9292026-08-04 18:59:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (42/78)11.9/20
1.02x (win $3,584 / loss $3,501)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1262.4/15
Sortino 0.1881.9/10
$+0.0033 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 611 (78 markets)9.4/10
28/56 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 231% of peak ($1,303 / $563)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.9 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,568,773$-228Vol: $81,272
📈 ECONOMICS#674,489$-403Vol: $19,466
🎭 CULTURE#745,450$-32Vol: $2,455
💰 FINANCE#25,883$51Vol: $398
CRYPTO#1,380,667$-47Vol: $268
📢 MENTIONS#99,265$-2Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-662
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,929
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
834B / 598S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~159d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $832
Week
$-53
Vol: $930
Month
$-95
Vol: $930
All Time
$-662
Vol: $103,929

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
42W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-662
Win Rate
54%
42W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,510 (2.2824027200604458% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$612
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$469
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$429
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$359
Canada recession before 2027?$358
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$180
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$157
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$153
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$144
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$133

Top Losers

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-537
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-443
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$-366
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-314
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-288
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-220
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$-166
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$-142
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-137
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$-136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.008
HHI
766
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
6.0%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
56.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)51%

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 5:14:47 PM3 trades$3,4690 min
3/9/2026, 9:19:33 PM3 trades$1,6351 min
4/26/2026, 9:25:56 PM2 trades$1,3780 min
3/10/2026, 3:39:17 PM5 trades$1,3455 min
4/23/2026, 12:13:34 AM20 trades$1,1582 min
4/23/2026, 12:40:26 AM16 trades$1,1500 min
3/4/2026, 5:33:49 PM14 trades$1,0559 min
4/8/2026, 1:33:47 PM2 trades$9070 min
5/24/2026, 3:55:53 PM10 trades$8920 min
3/11/2026, 3:25:53 AM1 trades$7800 min
4/17/2026, 12:59:36 PM3 trades$7590 min
4/30/2026, 11:07:52 PM34 trades$7452 min
11/6/2025, 11:25:07 PM5 trades$6914 min
7/25/2025, 5:45:23 PM1 trades$6340 min
4/22/2026, 1:26:02 PM6 trades$5970 min
4/23/2026, 6:15:46 PM6 trades$5180 min
12/10/2025, 4:11:20 PM1 trades$4960 min
12/1/2025, 7:48:24 PM1 trades$4750 min
12/1/2025, 12:36:28 AM1 trades$4730 min
2/25/2026, 3:01:18 PM1 trades$4650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
12-01
01-21
03-02
04-08
06-03
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.1 / M15.9 / H51