@RatherPlain

#2,398,15815

0x8cea9721338bc17233ddcd6a8bc64a9da06a5dca

~7d· 11 markets · 43 tradesVol: $12,1992026-08-04 22:58:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (2/4)10/20
0.73x (win $96 / loss $131)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0053 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3210 (4 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($87 / $0)0/10

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,002,837$-2Vol: $11,506
⚽ SPORTS#1,607,236$-55Vol: $693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,199
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
28B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $96 (1.6630737134909594% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$52
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$44

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?$-76
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.134
Sortino
-0.619
HHI
301
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2720s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)71.4%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 2:53:15 AM3 trades$9032 min
7/15/2026, 5:31:38 AM5 trades$8022 min
7/16/2026, 7:18:53 AM3 trades$7805 min
7/28/2026, 10:23:52 AM5 trades$7711 min
7/29/2026, 6:01:42 AM3 trades$7460 min
7/30/2026, 6:03:14 AM2 trades$4620 min
7/29/2026, 7:09:47 AM2 trades$4560 min
7/31/2026, 1:48:59 AM2 trades$4540 min
7/31/2026, 4:05:32 AM1 trades$4390 min
7/30/2026, 6:53:53 AM2 trades$4390 min
7/29/2026, 8:04:57 AM1 trades$4390 min
7/15/2026, 7:23:40 AM3 trades$4080 min
7/15/2026, 4:59:50 AM2 trades$4040 min
7/16/2026, 5:56:29 AM2 trades$3900 min
7/16/2026, 8:12:14 AM1 trades$3640 min
6/12/2026, 6:36:12 AM4 trades$551 min
7/28/2026, 9:38:26 AM2 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
07-16
07-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M0 / H71.4