RavenBaxter

@RavenBaxter

#2,948,68210

0x5f716b88a6be9f09404661ebd63a6e88d9dc1016

~131d· 68 markets · 620 tradesVol: $329,7362026-08-05 00:58:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (19/66)0/20
0.57x (win $9,758 / loss $17,017)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1580/15
Sortino -2.6550/10
$-0.2154 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 567 (66 markets)9.7/10
14/53 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 266% of peak ($11,624 / $4,365)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,116$-1,799Vol: $310,595
SPORTS#1,833,423$-1,123Vol: $10,374
🎭 CULTURE#3,362$1,787Vol: $8,490
CRYPTO#1,147,923$-10Vol: $166
📢 MENTIONS#157,738$-55Vol: $111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,200
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$329,736
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
291B / 329S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,200
Vol: $329,736

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
19W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-1,200
Win Rate
29%
19W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$514
Avg Loss
$-362

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,615 (4.6802027072081085% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,333
Israel military action against Iran before July?$2,250
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$1,032
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$866
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$725
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$626
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$576
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$557
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$145
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$139

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-6,223
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-2,533
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?$-1,263
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,095
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-819
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$-656
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?$-584
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$-437
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$-285
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?$-278

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
1479
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.158
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
75%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2655s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.5%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2025, 8:42:21 PM1 trades$3,4820 min
2/28/2026, 6:17:49 AM1 trades$2,9080 min
3/2/2026, 1:35:23 PM2 trades$2,5851 min
2/28/2026, 8:04:33 AM3 trades$2,5248 min
2/28/2026, 10:54:57 PM2 trades$2,4391 min
2/28/2026, 3:50:31 PM2 trades$2,0691 min
2/28/2026, 12:42:05 PM2 trades$2,0420 min
9/29/2025, 2:10:29 PM2 trades$1,5940 min
4/7/2026, 11:43:37 PM2 trades$1,1670 min
8/23/2025, 12:20:12 AM2 trades$1,0961 min
5/9/2026, 1:58:29 PM5 trades$1,0831 min
2/28/2026, 8:19:53 AM2 trades$1,0501 min
7/4/2026, 11:37:31 PM6 trades$1,0441 min
9/28/2025, 7:01:03 PM2 trades$9641 min
6/22/2025, 10:02:38 AM2 trades$9051 min
8/22/2025, 7:47:36 PM3 trades$8841 min
3/14/2026, 12:05:25 AM2 trades$8680 min
6/12/2025, 8:30:45 PM1 trades$8550 min
10/1/2025, 10:07:27 AM2 trades$8151 min
8/22/2025, 7:55:50 PM2 trades$8120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
06-19
08-22
10-24
02-22
04-01
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 144 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.73/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.5 / M42.3 / H20.3