RayanGosling

@RayanGosling

#2,841,25522

0x740238187482ccbc00d8f120f8526cb235936a0c

~108d· 129 markets · 987 tradesVol: $227,1652026-08-06 06:13:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (56/128)6.9/20
0.80x (win $9,400 / loss $11,711)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5250/15
Sortino -1.8780/10
$-0.0433 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 381 (128 markets)10/10
36/70 profitable days (51%)5.4/10
Max DD 225% of peak ($5,083 / $2,255)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$53,335 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,582,091$-406Vol: $136,470
🎭 CULTURE#98,051$4Vol: $81,213
📈 ECONOMICS#639,179$-31Vol: $3,475
🏛️ POLITICS#1,449,152$-42Vol: $1,800
⚽ SPORTS#1,298,801$-8Vol: $237

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$227,165
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
654B / 333S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-11
Vol: $60
All Time
$-466
Vol: $227,165

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
56W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$-466
Win Rate
44%
56W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-175

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,315 (4.96810474350719% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1,091
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?$731
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$493
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$487
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?$410
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?$394
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?$360
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$313
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$283
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?$272

Top Losers

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-925
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?$-584
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-581
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$-514
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-494
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-482
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$-468
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-465
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?$-425
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-416

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.079
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
321
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
32.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 399s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32%
Mid (20-55c)28.9%
High (>55c)39.1%

Sessions

#12
10/29/2025, 9:00:53 PM1 trades$5,1730 min
10/27/2025, 8:45:37 PM1 trades$4,0820 min
1/12/2026, 11:01:08 AM36 trades$3,94514 min
1/6/2026, 3:45:25 PM1 trades$3,4850 min
11/25/2025, 2:54:43 PM4 trades$3,4564 min
12/1/2025, 2:42:24 PM3 trades$2,2311 min
1/12/2026, 11:55:16 AM16 trades$2,1523 min
1/10/2026, 3:26:42 PM1 trades$2,0790 min
12/1/2025, 1:46:42 PM1 trades$2,0750 min
1/21/2026, 12:09:14 PM2 trades$1,9000 min
1/13/2026, 1:23:05 PM30 trades$1,8636 min
1/8/2026, 1:22:07 PM4 trades$1,5545 min
1/9/2026, 10:34:12 PM2 trades$1,2841 min
10/30/2025, 10:42:59 AM1 trades$1,2400 min
1/10/2026, 9:27:22 AM1 trades$1,1790 min
1/29/2026, 12:27:12 AM3 trades$1,1521 min
1/6/2026, 3:04:53 PM12 trades$1,1492 min
3/26/2026, 9:57:37 PM1 trades$1,1450 min
12/6/2025, 4:53:51 PM3 trades$1,1020 min
1/6/2026, 3:23:07 PM37 trades$1,0856 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-06
01-02
01-21
03-26
06-05
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 193 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.7/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32 / M28.9 / H39.1