@Raymond2026GK

#409,01874

0xe06614160fe751b2f7382509d2e2276f3b879329

~9d· 35 markets · 139 tradesVol: $18,8332026-08-05 02:45:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (19/34)12.9/20
1.69x (win $244 / loss $145)11.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.34615/15
Sortino 8.80210/10
$+0.4288 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3539 (34 markets)0/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($73 / $173)5.5/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+21
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#758,248$-46Vol: $15,971
CRYPTO#113,259$68Vol: $2,862

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,833
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
64B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Week
$-46
Vol: $15,971
Month
$-46
Vol: $15,971
All Time
$21
Vol: $18,833

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
19W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
56%
19W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (7.161064425770308% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$68
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$58
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$27
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$18
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$7
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$6

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-57
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$-19
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-9
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-7
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.214
Sortino
0.363
HHI
491
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.424
Kelly %
18.5%
Half-Kelly
9.2%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
37.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3201s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.8%
High (>55c)39.1%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 3:40:29 PM6 trades$7,7110 min
8/4/2026, 10:45:05 AM2 trades$4,7600 min
8/3/2026, 1:40:09 PM4 trades$3,2520 min
7/9/2026, 2:36:26 AM6 trades$430 min
7/9/2026, 2:22:02 PM2 trades$400 min
7/8/2026, 9:00:49 PM11 trades$391 min
7/7/2026, 12:27:31 AM2 trades$380 min
7/9/2026, 6:47:28 AM7 trades$211 min
7/7/2026, 1:01:22 AM4 trades$210 min
7/6/2026, 11:07:44 AM6 trades$201 min
8/3/2026, 11:26:09 PM6 trades$190 min
7/9/2026, 4:57:20 PM2 trades$150 min
7/8/2026, 12:17:35 AM5 trades$151 min
7/8/2026, 4:41:01 AM4 trades$151 min
7/8/2026, 3:45:52 AM4 trades$132 min
7/7/2026, 1:03:04 PM2 trades$130 min
7/8/2026, 6:30:56 AM4 trades$131 min
7/8/2026, 4:17:14 AM5 trades$121 min
7/8/2026, 6:42:14 AM4 trades$121 min
7/8/2026, 3:52:50 PM5 trades$121 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-21
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.03/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.2 / M43.8 / H39.1