
@RealHLM
#89,034540x8ddb3ea34c3416d74c0cb1bd2b550c92eab96a89
~53d· 402 markets · 1789 tradesVol: $85,4672026-08-05 00:39:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (153/402)4/20
1.17x (win $3,555 / loss $3,031)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.92315/15
Sortino 4.80110/10
$+0.0561 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 78 (402 markets)10/10
26/53 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($370 / $636)2.4/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+845
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#1,256$1,415Vol: $73,753
⚽ SPORTS#1,803,263$-575Vol: $11,633
₿ CRYPTO#336,862$3Vol: $43
🏛️ POLITICS#254,817$3Vol: $39
Overview
#1Net PnL
$845
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,467
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
402
total markets
Trades
687B / 1102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d
Periods
#2Today
$-62
Vol: $1,898
Week
$-17
Vol: $8,757
Month
$264
Vol: $10,813
All Time
$845
Vol: $85,467
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
153W / 248L events
Realized PnL
$845
Win Rate
38%
153W / 248L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $304 (0.3597184431562759% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?$114
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$101
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?$88
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$84
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?$56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?$52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?$52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 7?$47
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$-122
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-110
FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Both Teams to Score$-89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?$-81
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5$-66
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 7?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 14?$-60
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?$-52
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.151
Sortino
0.242
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
16.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.8
Active
Markets / Day
6.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1094s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency6.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)51.1%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 5:39:40 PM6 trades$4521 min
7/19/2026, 3:30:55 PM2 trades$3110 min
6/20/2026, 8:29:05 PM11 trades$2686 min
7/16/2026, 12:21:31 PM18 trades$2374 min
7/13/2026, 10:17:34 PM17 trades$2242 min
7/30/2026, 6:42:02 PM19 trades$21513 min
6/29/2026, 7:15:23 PM2 trades$2140 min
7/7/2026, 3:06:05 PM8 trades$2120 min
7/16/2026, 1:26:17 PM1 trades$2060 min
7/9/2026, 7:31:10 PM1 trades$1910 min
6/25/2026, 9:52:37 AM3 trades$1730 min
6/28/2026, 3:42:31 AM2 trades$1720 min
7/20/2026, 1:33:16 PM2 trades$1720 min
7/18/2026, 8:25:46 PM6 trades$1630 min
7/28/2026, 7:59:38 PM4 trades$1581 min
7/30/2026, 12:14:18 AM4 trades$1571 min
6/25/2026, 7:49:22 PM2 trades$1360 min
7/10/2026, 8:53:11 PM2 trades$1310 min
6/11/2026, 11:30:51 AM6 trades$1273 min
7/6/2026, 8:58:17 PM2 trades$1230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-16
06-24
07-04
07-12
07-20
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
70% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16 / M32.9 / H51.1