@Redpacket
370x2ba03ca09de9f778890a6d0d8e3bc5167d476bc1
~81d· 143 markets · 2557 trades2026-08-04 14:07:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (97/113)20/20
0.05x (win $2,275 / loss $49,202)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0040/15
Sortino -5.7300/10
$-0.1729 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1006 (113 markets)7.5/10
24/30 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 66139% of peak ($46,998 / $71)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 86%
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$271,446 invested
Consistent
24/30 profitable days
High Roller
$1,697/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,309$-23,393Vol: $2,685,912
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,969$-20,329Vol: $238,596
📈 ECONOMICS#628,548$-20Vol: $250
💰 FINANCE#568,266$-9Vol: $171
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-43,513
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$271,446
Total Redeem
$220
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
1674B / 883S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d
Periods
#2Today
$41
Vol: $0
Week
$-613
Vol: $100
Month
$-1,089
Vol: $207
All Time
$-43,513
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
97W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-43,513
Win Rate
86%
97W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-3,514
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $997 (0.022915955677970095% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$689
Trump out as President by March 31?$200
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$108
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$101
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?$59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$47
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?$-19,980
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-19,178
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-6,763
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-2,783
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-170
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$-152
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-103
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-25
Will Trump and Putin not meet?$-23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.309
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
442
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.257
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
41.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 4.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)74.7%
Sessions
#125/6/2026, 1:03:06 AM63 trades$24,15626 min
2/25/2026, 5:57:56 PM9 trades$17,28116 min
2/27/2026, 5:46:17 PM67 trades$16,40165 min
2/27/2026, 2:08:41 PM53 trades$15,50614 min
2/25/2026, 6:30:02 PM4 trades$12,3082 min
3/20/2026, 4:53:23 PM1 trades$9,6680 min
3/20/2026, 5:12:37 PM1 trades$9,0630 min
2/26/2026, 1:34:50 PM2 trades$8,6654 min
2/25/2026, 5:39:18 PM2 trades$7,5252 min
2/25/2026, 5:23:50 PM5 trades$7,4859 min
2/26/2026, 5:54:42 PM18 trades$6,46932 min
4/14/2026, 9:23:34 PM1 trades$6,3890 min
3/8/2026, 6:27:45 PM2 trades$6,2761 min
3/17/2026, 5:27:13 AM1 trades$5,5100 min
5/6/2026, 1:55:04 AM3 trades$5,2360 min
2/27/2026, 5:31:19 PM16 trades$5,2079 min
2/26/2026, 7:25:32 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
2/25/2026, 5:46:36 PM3 trades$4,6475 min
3/12/2026, 12:43:11 PM8 trades$4,4308 min
2/28/2026, 3:22:21 PM1 trades$4,2950 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-18
03-27
05-04
05-10
05-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M6.2 / H74.7