RenanRodrigues

@RenanRodrigues

#2,950,6268

0x8fe602ee667ca5d3c501dc0e18d03813ce6f9634

~36d· 51 markets · 1167 tradesVol: $155,9982026-08-05 03:28:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (7/43)0/20
0.23x (win $533 / loss $2,357)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.2070/15
Sortino -10.9060/10
$-0.1608 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 897 (43 markets)8/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 3688% of peak ($1,874 / $51)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,256$-1,161Vol: $99,424
SPORTS#1,599,244$-52Vol: $55,073
📈 ECONOMICS#55,130$6Vol: $1,050
CRYPTO#1,041,048$-5Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,221
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$155,998
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
666B / 501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-74
Vol: $0
Month
$-259
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,221
Vol: $155,998

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
7W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-1,221
Win Rate
16%
7W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $451 (0.369600458490257% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$297
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$81
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$61
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$17
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$2
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$1

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-422
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-359
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-277
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-211
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-190
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-176
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-168
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-144
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-96
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.609
Sortino
-0.765
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.490
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
21.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.4m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 335s — normal for humanCV 3.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)20.7%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 8:34:14 PM43 trades$1,60714 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:54 AM26 trades$1,4994 min
6/12/2026, 12:59:22 AM7 trades$1,4960 min
6/15/2026, 11:28:03 PM40 trades$1,11416 min
6/17/2026, 8:54:28 PM31 trades$1,09311 min
6/11/2026, 2:16:13 AM17 trades$9613 min
6/19/2026, 12:15:41 AM8 trades$8370 min
6/19/2026, 8:02:56 PM7 trades$7880 min
6/14/2026, 5:36:46 PM15 trades$7874 min
6/19/2026, 1:38:08 PM17 trades$7811 min
6/18/2026, 10:25:28 AM13 trades$7004 min
6/19/2026, 11:23:32 PM8 trades$6093 min
6/8/2026, 12:04:24 PM2 trades$5881 min
6/22/2026, 3:40:49 AM19 trades$56912 min
5/31/2026, 12:12:31 PM1 trades$5070 min
6/19/2026, 4:46:34 PM2 trades$4910 min
5/16/2026, 12:00:14 PM4 trades$4860 min
6/23/2026, 2:54:23 AM7 trades$4650 min
6/25/2026, 3:04:02 PM14 trades$4505 min
6/12/2026, 2:45:33 AM4 trades$4362 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-11
06-15
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.6 / M5.7 / H20.7