Rhaenyra

@Rhaenyra

#2,943,75865

0x0b6b6f253bb4ed301dc6b3831cbad11fd4fe280b

~24d· 856 markets · 17746 tradesVol: $440,4002026-08-06 15:53:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (496/707)20/20
1.11x (win $26,229 / loss $23,695)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.07215/15
Sortino 2.42610/10
$+0.0225 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 326 (707 markets)10/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 175% of peak ($5,754 / $3,281)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 25.1 entries/market
Whale
$112,551 invested
High Roller
$2,558/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#809,966$-812Vol: $322,791
🏛️ POLITICS#128,503$22Vol: $47,871
🌤️ WEATHER#284,999$-96Vol: $37,512
SPORTS#1,578,869$-46Vol: $24,076
💰 FINANCE#644,630$-200Vol: $5,153
📈 ECONOMICS#63,632$4Vol: $1,357
💻 TECH#46,289$1Vol: $46
CRYPTO#775,721$-0Vol: $36

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$440,400
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
856
total markets
Trades
15105B / 2641S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,123
Vol: $440,400

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
496W / 211L events
Realized PnL
$-1,123
Win Rate
70%
496W / 211L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-156

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,527 (17.382415254237287% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$13,339
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$3,163
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$3,025
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1,331
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1,322
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$434
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$430
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?$256
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$211
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?$184

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$-5,098
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$-3,855
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$-3,831
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2,643
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$-2,115
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$-920
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-450
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$-321
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$-313
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$-305

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.103
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
44.7%
Half-Kelly
22.3%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
30.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
403.3
Very active
Markets / Day
19.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
70 min
Avg Trades / Session
173.9

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock403 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)71.9%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 8:17:16 PM1300 trades$12,171360 min
5/12/2026, 7:49:12 PM1214 trades$8,560223 min
5/13/2026, 5:49:03 PM354 trades$4,867123 min
5/12/2026, 11:37:13 PM479 trades$4,110177 min
5/14/2026, 3:57:21 AM294 trades$2,104160 min
5/13/2026, 2:59:44 AM282 trades$1,995130 min
5/19/2026, 8:58:32 PM363 trades$1,751118 min
5/18/2026, 10:31:42 PM195 trades$1,681106 min
5/17/2026, 2:04:28 PM153 trades$1,59375 min
5/15/2026, 4:50:03 PM166 trades$1,56571 min
5/17/2026, 11:38:28 AM97 trades$1,43464 min
5/12/2026, 3:08:30 PM172 trades$1,37277 min
5/16/2026, 5:58:06 AM163 trades$1,30391 min
5/17/2026, 3:25:07 PM99 trades$1,16772 min
5/18/2026, 8:17:49 PM93 trades$1,12256 min
5/12/2026, 11:25:10 AM206 trades$1,11964 min
5/13/2026, 5:58:14 AM184 trades$1,108134 min
5/12/2026, 6:05:32 PM141 trades$1,04037 min
5/14/2026, 9:39:53 PM138 trades$1,030119 min
5/22/2026, 4:45:49 PM167 trades$1,01815 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-15
05-19
05-22
05-25
05-28
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.5 / M10.5 / H71.9