@RichardLukens
#2,964,520240xd7ec22b17fcbc05d381ec37dfc08f3ce6ae32697
~13d· 28 markets · 147 tradesVol: $12,8332026-08-04 17:18:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (17/28)15.4/20
0.30x (win $287 / loss $971)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3200/15
Sortino -6.0130/10
$-0.0887 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1919 (28 markets)2.9/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($755 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 61%
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,824,587$-954Vol: $4,140
🎭 CULTURE#807,233$-599Vol: $2,978
🏛️ POLITICS#113,691$30Vol: $1,604
₿ CRYPTO#1,337,289$-34Vol: $444
📢 MENTIONS#147,362$-26Vol: $103
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,430
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,833
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
45B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
17W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-1,430
Win Rate
61%
17W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-108
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174 (0.1215116035083302% of PnL)
Top Winners
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIA$112
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$32
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$30
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esports$25
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$21
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$18
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.G$16
Ethereum above $4600 on August 13?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?$7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?$4
Top Losers
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$-626
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-17?$-259
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5AM ET$-29
Will Trump say "Federalize" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$-25
Solana Up or Down - August 13, 6AM ET$-23
Red Sox vs. Yankees$-9
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?$-0
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 15?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.315
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
2299
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.1%
Top-5 markets
92.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1388s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)93.3%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 3:32:30 AM4 trades$1,5010 min
7/19/2026, 11:02:12 PM63 trades$1,4090 min
7/19/2026, 8:09:25 PM2 trades$1,3780 min
7/19/2026, 8:23:54 PM2 trades$1,3760 min
7/21/2026, 10:13:42 PM12 trades$1,0502 min
7/20/2026, 5:12:39 AM6 trades$9110 min
8/17/2025, 10:27:22 AM1 trades$8650 min
8/17/2025, 9:49:24 AM3 trades$7085 min
7/19/2026, 11:34:57 AM7 trades$6902 min
8/11/2025, 11:41:18 PM2 trades$3162 min
8/11/2025, 3:09:00 PM2 trades$3151 min
8/17/2025, 12:29:14 PM1 trades$2590 min
8/17/2025, 12:48:48 PM1 trades$2590 min
8/17/2025, 11:49:58 AM1 trades$2490 min
8/17/2025, 12:03:32 PM1 trades$2490 min
8/17/2025, 11:30:44 AM1 trades$2340 min
8/13/2025, 3:10:35 PM2 trades$1221 min
8/17/2025, 8:40:12 AM1 trades$1220 min
8/17/2025, 8:54:54 AM1 trades$1220 min
8/17/2025, 6:16:20 AM1 trades$1060 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
08-17
08-22
07-19
07-20
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M6.7 / H93.3