@RiseFromTheAshes
#2,458,046210x1d5ce0a272ba0d3340fe1daba63478a06c1d55df
~169d· 210 markets · 6721 tradesVol: $1,551,2882026-08-04 13:21:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (86/194)7.2/20
0.92x (win $82,436 / loss $89,274)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3020/15
Sortino -0.3660/10
$-0.0198 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 879 (194 markets)8.1/10
46/99 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 116% of peak ($52,659 / $45,264)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$345,891 invested
High Roller
$1,579/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#4,890$7,241Vol: $1,452,393
💰 FINANCE#658,097$-8,611Vol: $57,698
📈 ECONOMICS#2,600$1,294Vol: $41,151
₿ CRYPTO#337,649$3Vol: $46
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,551,288
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
2934B / 3787S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d
Periods
#2Today
$-82
Vol: $7,089
Week
$-91
Vol: $7,928
Month
$-123
Vol: $7,928
All Time
$-72
Vol: $1,551,288
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
86W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
44%
86W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$959
Avg Loss
$-850
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,875 (2026.0791208791209% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16,940
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$14,040
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5,894
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$4,027
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$3,753
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,992
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$2,736
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?$2,427
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$2,427
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2,247
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-27,658
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-19,567
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-4,162
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$-2,712
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,442
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$-2,390
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-2,153
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-1,949
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-1,910
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,884
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
753
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
45.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.2
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
33.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)42.5%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 4:26:03 AM17 trades$21,5951 min
6/17/2026, 5:07:11 AM2 trades$21,5050 min
6/15/2026, 9:53:16 AM63 trades$18,15511 min
6/16/2026, 2:28:39 AM6 trades$16,7070 min
6/16/2026, 9:15:20 PM4 trades$16,6981 min
6/16/2026, 5:57:54 AM63 trades$16,5501 min
6/16/2026, 7:45:12 AM17 trades$15,9330 min
6/4/2026, 3:22:57 AM34 trades$14,7061 min
4/1/2026, 4:27:21 PM2 trades$14,3280 min
6/16/2026, 2:16:18 AM10 trades$13,1851 min
6/5/2026, 5:07:09 AM47 trades$12,16915 min
6/12/2026, 10:29:48 AM80 trades$11,77516 min
6/1/2026, 5:34:58 AM10 trades$11,7356 min
6/16/2026, 4:35:19 AM25 trades$9,6910 min
4/23/2026, 5:34:42 AM33 trades$9,0345 min
4/21/2026, 6:23:28 AM58 trades$8,19710 min
5/13/2026, 7:12:48 AM7 trades$7,6760 min
6/7/2026, 6:05:18 AM53 trades$7,4288 min
5/11/2026, 6:23:21 PM25 trades$7,2232 min
4/26/2026, 4:40:30 AM187 trades$7,01424 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-05
03-05
03-30
04-27
06-01
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M35.7 / H42.5