Risk.Rich

@Risk.Rich

#180,73948

0xdc4478a391b6c19ea077e4d52eaddda5c325467b

~35d· 150 markets · 708 tradesVol: $46,943 @RiskRich2026-08-04 19:05:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (11/149)0/20
1.21x (win $456 / loss $378)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.16715/15
Sortino 3.40910/10
$+0.2023 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 876 (149 markets)8.1/10
7/34 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($104 / $132)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+184
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#4,542$225Vol: $45,802
CRYPTO#1,349,528$-37Vol: $1,070
SPORTS#1,170,858$-4Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$184
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,943
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
150
total markets
Trades
179B / 529S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $502
Week
$-24
Vol: $1,582
Month
$-75
Vol: $2,693
All Time
$184
Vol: $46,943

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
11W / 138L events
Realized PnL
$184
Win Rate
7%
11W / 138L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $285 (1.5498425453360842% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?$130
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$79
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?$76
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?$46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?$44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?$24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 20?$14

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 7?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?$-8
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.060
Sortino
0.213
HHI
273
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)7.8%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 7:18:22 AM47 trades$7,7448 min
6/12/2026, 7:34:22 AM6 trades$3131 min
6/14/2026, 8:36:25 AM31 trades$25810 min
6/19/2026, 7:34:08 AM36 trades$2264 min
6/9/2026, 9:34:13 AM25 trades$2043 min
6/19/2026, 12:23:11 AM16 trades$1565 min
6/12/2026, 9:36:54 AM22 trades$1493 min
7/12/2026, 4:30:40 PM11 trades$1450 min
6/8/2026, 11:22:33 PM30 trades$1453 min
6/11/2026, 11:11:07 AM17 trades$1433 min
7/10/2026, 3:10:47 PM32 trades$1421 min
7/4/2026, 11:40:35 AM18 trades$1301 min
6/14/2026, 12:45:58 AM17 trades$1267 min
7/23/2026, 8:19:09 AM7 trades$1250 min
6/15/2026, 8:15:48 AM15 trades$1252 min
7/28/2026, 12:47:28 PM6 trades$1220 min
7/8/2026, 2:52:22 PM33 trades$1034 min
6/6/2026, 12:51:40 PM13 trades$1000 min
7/9/2026, 9:49:40 AM3 trades$970 min
6/6/2026, 11:08:15 AM22 trades$963 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-08
06-13
06-24
07-09
07-20
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.6 / M5.6 / H7.8