RogueDictator01

@RogueDictator01

#2,662,1470

0x8122e47aad6b5f11a822efba42aebbf17df04af7

~15d· 73 markets · 213 tradesVol: $12,8662026-08-04 21:00:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (18/72)0/20
0.67x (win $332 / loss $497)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2770/15
Sortino -3.5480/10
$-0.3380 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6696 (72 markets)0/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 308% of peak ($336 / $109)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,658,178$-87Vol: $12,508
CRYPTO#1,429,344$-70Vol: $358

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,866
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
98B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-157
Vol: $12,866

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
18W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-157
Win Rate
25%
18W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $136 (0.8665391969407266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$46
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$33
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$31
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$28
Brazil to win the second half?$25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$18
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score$17
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$17
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-208
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-34
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$-30
Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?$-20
Netherlands to win the second half?$-20
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-13
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$-10
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
930
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.272
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.3%
Top-5 markets
55.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)38.8%
High (>55c)28.6%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:18:01 PM14 trades$10,1313 min
6/22/2026, 11:52:53 AM15 trades$5379 min
6/26/2026, 12:16:20 AM7 trades$1205 min
6/23/2026, 7:06:55 PM8 trades$1114 min
6/24/2026, 1:36:37 PM8 trades$521 min
7/15/2026, 1:36:11 PM16 trades$4810 min
6/27/2026, 12:25:47 PM4 trades$475 min
6/22/2026, 12:19:08 PM4 trades$430 min
6/27/2026, 1:33:04 AM5 trades$390 min
6/24/2026, 10:52:19 PM4 trades$380 min
6/24/2026, 10:27:08 PM6 trades$370 min
6/26/2026, 2:52:26 PM5 trades$361 min
6/22/2026, 4:48:28 PM6 trades$321 min
6/25/2026, 2:28:08 AM2 trades$300 min
6/24/2026, 10:01:56 PM4 trades$290 min
7/13/2026, 3:34:49 PM4 trades$281 min
6/23/2026, 4:24:50 AM2 trades$280 min
6/25/2026, 3:03:53 PM16 trades$265 min
6/26/2026, 2:32:59 PM4 trades$240 min
6/23/2026, 8:41:11 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-29
07-06
07-10
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.21/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.7 / M38.8 / H28.6