@Ronald3837

#2,108,82840

0xbcf90faaebb7ce5d53b1842b6f04bf92241fba09

~127d· 143 markets · 390 tradesVol: $28,3472026-08-04 18:57:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (104/138)20/20
0.66x (win $19 / loss $28)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4300/15
Sortino -1.8850/10
$-0.0026 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 189 (138 markets)10/10
71/93 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 536% of peak ($17 / $3)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Consistent
71/93 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,398,288$-14Vol: $12,401
🏛️ POLITICS#1,084,458$-4Vol: $8,435
🌤️ WEATHER#160,902$-0Vol: $4,089
CRYPTO#963,058$-3Vol: $1,279
🎭 CULTURE#175,530$1Vol: $688
📈 ECONOMICS#79,319$2Vol: $655
💰 FINANCE#230,231$0Vol: $394
💻 TECH#54,759$1Vol: $358

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,347
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
248B / 142S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-22
Vol: $28,347

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
104W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
75%
104W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11 (0.49288664525011466% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$1
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February?$1
Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1
Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?$0
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 9–9.5m$0
Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?$0
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0

Top Losers

Scorigami in NFL Week 16?$-6
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? $-5
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-5
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$-3
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-3
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-2
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-1
Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?$-1
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.074
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.8h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13394s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)93.5%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2025, 8:37:23 PM1 trades$1620 min
3/31/2025, 2:40:55 PM1 trades$1590 min
3/18/2025, 10:22:00 AM1 trades$1590 min
3/27/2025, 10:33:10 PM1 trades$1580 min
3/9/2025, 9:35:07 PM1 trades$1570 min
2/26/2025, 1:25:27 PM1 trades$1560 min
3/4/2025, 10:32:52 AM1 trades$1560 min
7/24/2025, 10:25:26 AM1 trades$800 min
9/11/2025, 5:10:47 AM1 trades$790 min
5/30/2025, 3:59:25 AM1 trades$790 min
8/13/2025, 4:21:01 AM1 trades$790 min
6/26/2025, 3:49:57 AM1 trades$780 min
4/27/2025, 6:12:50 PM1 trades$780 min
5/18/2025, 6:12:24 AM1 trades$780 min
10/25/2025, 10:15:15 AM1 trades$750 min
12/31/2025, 7:41:33 AM3 trades$646 min
2/2/2026, 11:20:00 PM3 trades$542 min
5/11/2026, 6:38:28 AM2 trades$490 min
7/19/2026, 9:19:28 PM2 trades$460 min
7/29/2026, 7:06:21 PM2 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
02-16
09-29
02-27
05-20
07-05
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 308 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M0.8 / H93.5