Rrlh

@Rrlh

#23,43075

0x4dfa70b042d825cf9b491ae247ae20810d38b490

~17d· 49 markets · 703 tradesVol: $38,9932026-08-04 16:21:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (24/48)10/20
16.59x (win $10,761 / loss $649)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.37215/15
Sortino 198.41810/10
$+0.7507 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 6223 (48 markets)0/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($395 / $10,281)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+5,504
DCA Master
Avg 15.0 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#1,005$5,582Vol: $18,525
🌤️ WEATHER#17,727$17Vol: $12,025
CRYPTO#1,461,687$-96Vol: $7,639
SPORTS#428,437$1Vol: $804

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,504
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,993
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
299B / 404S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
24W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$5,504
Win Rate
50%
24W / 24L
Profit Factor
16.59x
Avg Win
$448
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,335 (1.8775782350002268% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$9,184
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$764
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$386
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$173
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$49
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?$-189
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-160
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026$-24
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$-20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.319
Sortino
8.762
HHI
6646
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.746
Kelly %
24.7%
Half-Kelly
12.4%
Top-1 market
81.1%
Top-5 markets
95.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.0m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 10.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.98
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 1:04:01 PM5 trades$16,0870 min
6/30/2026, 10:39:02 PM13 trades$4,0303 min
7/22/2026, 4:16:54 AM78 trades$1,1176 min
7/7/2026, 9:10:35 AM14 trades$5593 min
7/7/2026, 4:14:53 AM61 trades$51426 min
6/24/2026, 2:30:02 AM13 trades$4890 min
7/7/2026, 6:47:34 AM7 trades$3944 min
6/29/2026, 2:22:10 AM11 trades$3871 min
7/7/2026, 3:05:28 AM28 trades$3387 min
6/30/2026, 4:02:17 AM6 trades$3300 min
7/7/2026, 7:14:29 AM13 trades$2911 min
7/7/2026, 6:41:43 AM12 trades$2671 min
7/7/2026, 1:16:37 PM9 trades$2600 min
7/7/2026, 5:38:11 AM34 trades$25813 min
6/30/2026, 3:41:56 AM3 trades$2380 min
7/7/2026, 7:58:01 AM18 trades$20412 min
6/27/2026, 7:04:28 AM3 trades$1840 min
7/4/2026, 1:44:22 AM5 trades$1820 min
6/24/2026, 5:10:01 AM7 trades$1737 min
7/4/2026, 4:05:31 AM6 trades$1551 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-02
06-25
07-02
07-07
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M28.8 / H58.9