@RubensGrepth

#2,884,61727

0x1bb250d3bb1c6e6f18bc85494d5b56adc7ec88ca

~55d· 48 markets · 201 tradesVol: $62,673 @KikoLop150421872026-08-06 15:53:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (24/47)10.5/20
0.37x (win $1,149 / loss $3,066)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5130/15
Sortino -6.6590/10
$-0.1000 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 462 (47 markets)10/10
16/28 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 2260% of peak ($2,006 / $89)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,601,129$-603Vol: $25,047
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,202$-106Vol: $23,551
📈 ECONOMICS#657,602$-88Vol: $5,179
⚽ SPORTS#1,718,004$-150Vol: $3,455
🎭 CULTURE#101,481$4Vol: $3,016
💰 FINANCE#10,615$261Vol: $1,860
💻 TECH#11,274$28Vol: $564

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,673
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
144B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-652
Vol: $62,673

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
24W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-652
Win Rate
51%
24W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-139

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $632 (0.9691451694486596% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$317
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$161
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$154
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$114
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$99
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$78
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$28
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$28
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$21

Top Losers

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-500
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-430
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-393
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$-345
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-172
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$-155
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?$-150
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$-110
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-100
Maduro out in 2025?$-99

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.335
Sortino
-0.377
HHI
437
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.1%
Mid (20-55c)44.4%
High (>55c)35.4%

Sessions

#12
12/15/2025, 10:07:37 AM2 trades$1,8822 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:49 PM1 trades$1,7900 min
9/18/2025, 10:18:04 AM3 trades$1,4301 min
10/30/2025, 12:19:05 PM3 trades$1,3373 min
12/30/2025, 3:48:07 PM1 trades$1,2520 min
12/31/2025, 5:40:13 PM1 trades$1,2520 min
12/31/2025, 5:09:49 PM1 trades$1,1290 min
4/28/2026, 9:53:14 PM8 trades$9061 min
12/27/2025, 10:30:31 AM1 trades$8080 min
12/26/2025, 12:04:09 PM1 trades$8030 min
12/20/2025, 11:19:21 PM1 trades$8020 min
12/17/2025, 8:07:06 AM1 trades$7570 min
12/28/2025, 9:31:07 PM6 trades$7547 min
12/14/2025, 10:30:05 AM1 trades$7450 min
1/3/2026, 8:06:49 AM2 trades$6005 min
12/1/2025, 6:40:52 PM2 trades$5902 min
12/12/2025, 9:06:28 AM1 trades$5640 min
8/22/2025, 2:18:50 PM3 trades$5563 min
12/10/2025, 10:33:36 PM1 trades$5360 min
11/5/2025, 8:18:31 AM3 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
10-30
11-28
12-14
12-26
12-31
02-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 243 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.1 / M44.4 / H35.4