@Rumpelstiltskin
750xfb1b4e2db61efb47bfb1ac92807c76d4f367a11d
~136d· 180 markets · 1437 trades2026-08-04 18:09:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (96/174)12.6/20
1.62x (win $49,738 / loss $30,718)10.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.29015/15
Sortino 3.68310/10
$+0.0910 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 244 (174 markets)10/10
52/91 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($11,511 / $28,628)6/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+18,654
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Whale
$209,000 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$18,654
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$209,000
Total Redeem
$2,051
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
180
total markets
Trades
1146B / 291S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
96W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$18,654
Win Rate
55%
96W / 78L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$518
Avg Loss
$-394
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,794 (0.9002906689997382% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$9,790
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$4,176
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$2,827
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$2,559
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2,269
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?$2,019
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1,675
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1,412
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$1,197
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$1,092
Top Losers
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-9,458
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?$-3,747
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$-2,057
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?$-1,216
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$-1,067
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$-1,020
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-996
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$-928
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-605
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-551
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.135
HHI
257
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
28.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 502s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.4%
High (>55c)40.1%
Sessions
#127/24/2026, 4:52:49 PM8 trades$15,2002 min
11/18/2025, 4:22:35 PM2 trades$5,5450 min
1/7/2026, 7:56:57 PM4 trades$5,3074 min
8/7/2025, 7:05:53 PM12 trades$5,02816 min
2/3/2026, 9:31:20 AM2 trades$4,7820 min
1/7/2026, 4:36:03 PM3 trades$4,6911 min
11/21/2025, 6:30:53 PM3 trades$4,5053 min
1/3/2026, 9:41:55 AM5 trades$4,2524 min
11/18/2025, 4:11:09 AM4 trades$3,9311 min
1/3/2026, 9:25:23 AM5 trades$3,8361 min
11/28/2025, 8:23:15 AM16 trades$3,75912 min
2/3/2026, 12:14:42 PM1 trades$3,4190 min
2/3/2026, 4:58:40 PM7 trades$3,4051 min
8/5/2025, 10:50:00 AM3 trades$3,1681 min
7/31/2025, 6:58:46 AM1 trades$3,0750 min
2/4/2026, 12:54:20 PM2 trades$3,0692 min
2/3/2026, 6:14:16 PM6 trades$2,9774 min
8/6/2025, 10:57:20 AM1 trades$2,8120 min
2/5/2026, 5:48:29 PM4 trades$2,7991 min
2/3/2026, 9:38:12 AM8 trades$2,7000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
07-31
09-13
11-27
12-15
02-01
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.5 / M25.4 / H40.1