@Runefang

#315,97052

0x916056c4d06600f09749370001f9b6a46506c0b2

~57d· 89 markets · 270 tradesVol: $4,9602026-08-04 19:09:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (29/78)3.6/20
1.29x (win $461 / loss $356)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.47115/15
Sortino 2.46710/10
$+0.0869 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 492 (78 markets)10/10
19/45 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($140 / $131)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+47
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#185,685$37Vol: $2,062
🏛️ POLITICS#1,425,972$-32Vol: $1,852
🎭 CULTURE#31,534$47Vol: $769
CRYPTO#366,915$2Vol: $198
💻 TECH#37,795$2Vol: $29
📢 MENTIONS#91,499$-2Vol: $28
💰 FINANCE#541,926$-5Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$50
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,960
Total Redeem
$114
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
89
total markets
Trades
150B / 120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $3
Month
$8
Vol: $61
All Time
$50
Vol: $4,960

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
29W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$47
Win Rate
37%
29W / 49L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $269 (5.779351792230091% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$106
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$101
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$62
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$26
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$5
US military action against Iran before July?$5

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-94
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-20
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-20
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-17
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$-17
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.107
HHI
376
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
33.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)32%
High (>55c)51.3%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 6:18:01 PM2 trades$1880 min
4/13/2026, 5:05:03 PM12 trades$1873 min
5/16/2026, 10:54:55 PM6 trades$1611 min
3/1/2026, 4:27:15 AM6 trades$11311 min
5/12/2026, 9:12:07 AM4 trades$990 min
4/1/2026, 3:05:39 PM2 trades$930 min
6/21/2025, 6:50:02 PM8 trades$8117 min
7/5/2026, 9:45:22 PM2 trades$740 min
5/4/2026, 7:29:06 AM4 trades$700 min
4/4/2026, 6:12:27 PM2 trades$600 min
5/16/2026, 10:27:23 PM4 trades$585 min
7/5/2026, 9:39:59 PM4 trades$560 min
5/12/2026, 1:08:16 PM2 trades$500 min
6/9/2026, 5:57:40 PM4 trades$500 min
5/27/2026, 6:06:53 PM4 trades$500 min
3/15/2026, 12:36:09 AM5 trades$442 min
7/5/2026, 7:30:41 PM5 trades$440 min
7/23/2026, 8:29:21 PM4 trades$433 min
5/14/2026, 12:28:52 PM3 trades$430 min
6/21/2025, 6:30:54 PM3 trades$413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
09-10
03-08
04-05
05-12
07-02
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M32 / H51.3