@RylaiCrestfall
#2,912,384100x0f28dc630b66cf56ca2ca663a2f632040e0182e0
~55d· 282 markets · 939 tradesVol: $137,1942026-08-04 14:07:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
16% (44/280)0/20
0.27x (win $334 / loss $1,239)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.4850/15
Sortino -12.1430/10
$-0.4870 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 190 (280 markets)10/10
5/51 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($905 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#803,177$-387Vol: $70,988
🏛️ POLITICS#1,577,783$-285Vol: $38,161
₿ CRYPTO#1,498,159$-127Vol: $11,686
⚽ SPORTS#1,598,392$-52Vol: $5,401
📢 MENTIONS#121,966$-7Vol: $5,067
📈 ECONOMICS#622,744$-18Vol: $2,966
💻 TECH#223,108$-8Vol: $1,299
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-890
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$137,194
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
700B / 239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-890
Vol: $137,194
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
16%
44W / 236L events
Realized PnL
$-890
Win Rate
16%
44W / 236L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117 (0.13150441682213582% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?$50
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?$39
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?$29
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$16
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?$15
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?$15
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Opolskie?$13
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?$13
Top Losers
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?$-97
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?$-76
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?$-43
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?$-38
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?$-38
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-29
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?$-25
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-24
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.802
Sortino
-0.847
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.488
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
23%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 390s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.34
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)90.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.6%
High (>55c)2.6%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 3:06:54 AM2 trades$5000 min
3/31/2026, 8:34:45 PM22 trades$35713 min
3/31/2026, 7:47:07 PM44 trades$29616 min
3/31/2026, 8:08:33 PM29 trades$24521 min
7/31/2026, 2:33:54 AM3 trades$2050 min
3/31/2026, 6:28:39 PM30 trades$19921 min
7/31/2026, 11:29:48 AM2 trades$1160 min
3/31/2026, 7:04:37 PM7 trades$1124 min
7/13/2025, 3:54:04 PM1 trades$960 min
3/31/2026, 9:25:37 PM14 trades$947 min
5/17/2025, 10:27:37 AM36 trades$8915 min
6/1/2025, 4:40:15 PM2 trades$772 min
7/31/2026, 2:16:05 AM7 trades$721 min
5/17/2025, 11:27:39 PM2 trades$551 min
6/1/2025, 3:27:15 PM1 trades$550 min
5/19/2025, 11:36:29 AM2 trades$522 min
5/19/2025, 5:58:49 PM1 trades$500 min
6/1/2025, 4:20:25 PM3 trades$503 min
7/4/2025, 3:07:37 PM6 trades$439 min
6/1/2025, 10:04:43 PM1 trades$430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-10
05-25
06-06
06-18
07-05
01-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.9 / M6.6 / H2.6