SHOTHERS

@SHOTHERS

#2,882,95047

0x693c14ff4f1753feb321703ffb404700a0dca7ed

~86d· 611 markets · 2197 tradesVol: $264,696 @_shothers_2026-08-05 02:21:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (287/608)8.6/20
1.05x (win $13,816 / loss $13,096)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.59611.2/15
Sortino 0.9039/10
$+0.0175 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 102 (608 markets)10/10
39/81 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($1,832 / $1,868)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,829,370$-1,005Vol: $98,434
💻 TECH#251,272$-136Vol: $57,112
CRYPTO#30,274$1,010Vol: $24,916
💰 FINANCE#647,375$-352Vol: $24,313
🎭 CULTURE#736,710$-25Vol: $21,143
🏛️ POLITICS#1,535,046$-120Vol: $13,794
📢 MENTIONS#135,043$-13Vol: $1,810

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-657
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,696
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
611
total markets
Trades
1134B / 1063S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
287W / 321L events
Realized PnL
$-657
Win Rate
47%
287W / 321L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,703 (4.115319621842983% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$1,379
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$727
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$598
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?$558
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$493
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?$490
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$404
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$301
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner$291
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?$288

Top Losers

Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?$-881
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-544
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?$-501
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-416
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$-400
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?$-297
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?$-293
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$-281
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?$-263
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?$-257

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.039
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)51.8%

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 8:47:11 PM1 trades$1,4040 min
12/3/2025, 9:59:37 PM3 trades$1,3194 min
11/25/2025, 2:08:33 PM5 trades$1,2882 min
5/2/2026, 2:40:16 PM6 trades$1,2543 min
5/2/2026, 12:43:58 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
5/14/2026, 3:29:30 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
11/30/2025, 9:45:42 PM6 trades$1,24814 min
12/7/2025, 9:56:37 PM1 trades$1,1370 min
12/24/2025, 2:27:49 PM3 trades$1,0273 min
12/11/2025, 9:24:33 PM1 trades$1,0240 min
12/17/2025, 6:44:19 PM4 trades$9789 min
4/30/2026, 3:24:02 PM2 trades$8970 min
12/7/2025, 9:45:53 PM1 trades$8500 min
12/7/2025, 5:09:53 PM2 trades$8171 min
11/25/2025, 2:23:33 PM2 trades$7142 min
12/15/2025, 9:56:33 PM5 trades$6482 min
12/10/2025, 4:58:56 PM10 trades$5849 min
5/15/2026, 10:03:28 PM2 trades$5670 min
12/15/2025, 5:21:43 PM1 trades$5210 min
12/7/2025, 2:16:01 PM3 trades$5083 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-01
12-14
12-30
04-30
05-13
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 137 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M26.7 / H51.8