@SPY-KT

#3,065,16625

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d

~98d· 393 markets · 9536 tradesVol: $934,3352026-08-04 14:06:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (178/363)9.5/20
0.73x (win $92,207 / loss $126,960)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2200/15
Sortino -2.4390/10
$-0.1022 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 101 (363 markets)10/10
43/82 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 800% of peak ($53,137 / $6,646)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 24.0 entries/market
Whale
$339,944 invested
High Roller
$3,366/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,818$-1,028Vol: $354,026
💰 FINANCE#658,140$-9,054Vol: $227,811
🎭 CULTURE#814,331$-2,497Vol: $90,309
CRYPTO#33,664$828Vol: $71,632
📈 ECONOMICS#1,681$2,554Vol: $71,245
📢 MENTIONS#176,699$-7,073Vol: $60,774
💻 TECH#257,486$-1,051Vol: $46,420
SPORTS#1,395,211$-13Vol: $3,214

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17,575
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$934,335
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
393
total markets
Trades
2141B / 7395S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-935
Vol: $1,361
Week
$-913
Vol: $24,495
Month
$-3,296
Vol: $32,984
All Time
$-17,575
Vol: $934,335

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
178W / 185L events
Realized PnL
$-16,910
Win Rate
49%
178W / 185L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$518
Avg Loss
$-734

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,927 (0.8235974897218634% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$6,502
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$3,733
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,691
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$3,482
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$3,317
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2,586
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2,561
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2,537
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$2,518
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,376

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$-23,918
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-10,944
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$-8,804
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-4,987
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-4,005
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,675
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$-3,298
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-3,274
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-3,194
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-3,182

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
94.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 193s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock94 trades/day — mass trading3.9 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)70.9%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 12:09:21 AM86 trades$15,06310 min
5/15/2026, 8:25:17 AM137 trades$14,79031 min
6/18/2026, 5:43:43 PM12 trades$11,6801 min
5/16/2026, 8:03:39 PM50 trades$9,37811 min
5/11/2026, 10:28:15 PM103 trades$9,28131 min
5/16/2026, 8:38:00 PM49 trades$9,0971 min
5/16/2026, 7:56:25 PM43 trades$8,5432 min
5/1/2026, 1:47:24 PM36 trades$7,49917 min
5/15/2026, 11:37:50 PM71 trades$5,33711 min
5/6/2026, 11:20:58 AM59 trades$5,02412 min
5/11/2026, 10:14:24 PM18 trades$4,7795 min
5/12/2026, 8:43:20 PM35 trades$4,3054 min
5/10/2026, 4:59:28 PM57 trades$4,08820 min
4/28/2026, 8:09:42 PM3 trades$4,0720 min
5/5/2026, 8:58:16 PM15 trades$4,0431 min
6/3/2026, 3:04:37 AM11 trades$3,8154 min
5/14/2026, 12:22:13 PM19 trades$3,7698 min
5/6/2026, 4:24:27 PM24 trades$3,6095 min
5/5/2026, 2:37:24 AM18 trades$3,5602 min
7/7/2026, 1:48:41 PM87 trades$3,48411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-10
05-24
06-12
06-26
07-13
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M18.6 / H70.9