@SUPERNOVA-
#59,15970x32698c6f006f583e523667a0d0081f1747681e7c
~54d· 43 markets · 1061 tradesVol: $169,3742026-08-05 16:39:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (9/34)0/20
0.43x (win $8,764 / loss $20,426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7160/15
Sortino -5.7590/10
$-0.2056 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1174 (34 markets)6.6/10
5/23 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 841% of peak ($16,477 / $1,960)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,663
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Whale
$56,720 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#7,430$3,964Vol: $118,011
⚽ SPORTS#1,843,401$-1,440Vol: $42,113
📈 ECONOMICS#678,085$-756Vol: $6,430
₿ CRYPTO#1,441,587$-79Vol: $2,819
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,690
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,374
Total Redeem
$4,560
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
518B / 543S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$27
Vol: $594
Month
$372
Vol: $594
All Time
$1,690
Vol: $169,374
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
9W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$1,663
Win Rate
26%
9W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$974
Avg Loss
$-851
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,509 (5.115845227073238% of PnL)
Top Winners
Kash Patel out by June 30?$5,781
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1,960
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$769
Avalanche vs. Oilers$135
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$40
Stars vs. Maple Leafs$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3
Top Losers
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-6,022
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-3,496
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$-2,945
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$-1,405
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-1,298
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-1,088
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-842
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$-802
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-498
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-396
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.241
Sortino
-0.318
HHI
513
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.364
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
41.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 232s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
21.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21%
Mid (20-55c)41.9%
High (>55c)37.1%
Sessions
#127/14/2026, 1:43:58 PM14 trades$4,7856 min
6/13/2026, 8:18:01 AM9 trades$3,9134 min
4/16/2026, 5:07:12 AM10 trades$3,2680 min
7/19/2026, 8:36:18 AM41 trades$3,0597 min
4/11/2026, 7:35:31 PM2 trades$2,7700 min
4/11/2026, 8:22:51 PM5 trades$2,5660 min
4/22/2026, 5:31:40 AM22 trades$2,3693 min
5/29/2026, 8:47:02 PM7 trades$2,2780 min
4/17/2026, 1:58:12 AM29 trades$2,2451 min
4/13/2026, 1:46:03 AM4 trades$2,2251 min
6/17/2026, 8:39:41 PM12 trades$2,1318 min
5/23/2026, 9:53:41 PM48 trades$2,10510 min
4/5/2026, 8:06:01 PM4 trades$2,0050 min
6/30/2026, 3:08:50 AM16 trades$1,9873 min
5/19/2026, 8:11:04 PM27 trades$1,8850 min
4/14/2026, 1:39:05 AM17 trades$1,62110 min
6/16/2026, 5:06:04 AM12 trades$1,5350 min
6/19/2026, 4:44:50 AM1 trades$1,4610 min
4/12/2026, 5:12:03 PM3 trades$1,4520 min
7/12/2026, 8:19:14 PM10 trades$1,3680 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-13
04-16
05-27
06-15
06-21
07-02
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.24/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21 / M41.9 / H37.1