@SamuelOlteanu

#2,814,7515

0x1d50419b273abd82f3c979b7b666f09f7fd72563

~43d· 53 markets · 980 tradesVol: $100,7692026-08-04 17:21:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (1/10)0/20
0.23x (win $311 / loss $1,354)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5240/15
Sortino -9.2940/10
$-0.1385 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1423 (10 markets)5.4/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 436% of peak ($1,354 / $311)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,573,213$-252Vol: $99,857
🎭 CULTURE#49,715$19Vol: $554
SPORTS#1,717,246$-150Vol: $357

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$100,769
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
221B / 759S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $750
Month
$-0
Vol: $750
All Time
$-383
Vol: $100,769

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
1W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-383
Win Rate
10%
1W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$311
Avg Loss
$-169

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $311 (0.81152228983312% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$311

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-600
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$-258
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-204
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$-141
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$-78
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$-38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.470
Sortino
-0.572
HHI
338
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.350
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.7%
Top-5 markets
35%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule11 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.3
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 6:43:13 AM16 trades$1,7310 min
7/13/2026, 11:10:52 AM19 trades$8650 min
7/2/2026, 9:10:43 PM8 trades$8195 min
6/30/2026, 6:54:55 PM39 trades$77313 min
6/4/2026, 7:33:25 PM37 trades$77215 min
7/15/2026, 9:09:53 PM4 trades$7451 min
6/10/2026, 8:38:10 PM34 trades$73610 min
8/2/2026, 10:50:42 PM11 trades$6953 min
6/8/2026, 9:46:45 PM24 trades$6916 min
6/16/2026, 7:34:01 PM16 trades$6895 min
5/7/2026, 7:06:22 PM16 trades$6705 min
7/9/2026, 6:00:05 AM8 trades$6401 min
6/5/2026, 6:06:45 AM4 trades$5890 min
6/16/2026, 2:23:10 PM12 trades$5293 min
6/17/2026, 3:15:22 PM13 trades$5290 min
6/18/2026, 8:27:58 AM6 trades$5020 min
7/2/2026, 9:23:13 PM5 trades$4860 min
6/24/2026, 1:26:17 PM10 trades$4670 min
7/28/2026, 8:54:10 PM14 trades$4184 min
7/16/2026, 9:47:22 PM17 trades$4172 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-04
06-05
06-08
06-11
06-23
07-01
07-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.3 / M13.6 / H23.1