
@ScrantonStakes
#54,150590x4f241e2a78fa878e8a7286aae4a181df282f513e
~375d· 444 markets · 3259 tradesVol: $333,3342026-08-05 18:51:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (223/414)11.9/20
1.24x (win $3,491 / loss $2,822)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.77614.5/15
Sortino 0.9299.3/10
$+0.0275 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 105 (414 markets)10/10
99/189 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($1,305 / $1,974)0.8/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+1,910
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#17,039$1,085Vol: $164,579
⚽ SPORTS#56,704$503Vol: $92,576
₿ CRYPTO#1,483,540$-109Vol: $56,523
💰 FINANCE#6,797$508Vol: $9,718
📈 ECONOMICS#650,962$-57Vol: $8,267
🎭 CULTURE#740,371$-28Vol: $1,375
📢 MENTIONS#15,527$17Vol: $154
💻 TECH#203,537$-2Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,910
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$333,334
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
444
total markets
Trades
2046B / 1213S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~375d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $500
Month
$-1
Vol: $979
All Time
$1,910
Vol: $333,334
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
223W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$1,910
Win Rate
54%
223W / 191L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $560 (0.29308205082553535% of PnL)
Top Winners
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep $220
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$171
Verstappen wins Austrian Grand Prix?$169
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. France$141
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 20?$127
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 20?$110
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 20?$108
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 20?$103
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$93
Will England win?$84
Top Losers
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-897
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-149
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-112
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-104
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-98
Will France win the 2024 Euros?$-73
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$-68
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-67
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-65
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-65
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.035
HHI
78
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
12%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 420s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)23.1%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 1:13:16 PM9 trades$9451 min
5/17/2026, 10:33:38 AM6 trades$9201 min
12/23/2024, 8:15:14 AM3 trades$6242 min
1/17/2026, 10:23:10 PM31 trades$58814 min
5/16/2026, 1:22:24 PM12 trades$5332 min
7/14/2024, 8:21:31 PM2 trades$4571 min
7/7/2024, 6:02:14 PM11 trades$44914 min
6/15/2026, 8:19:07 PM21 trades$4420 min
11/6/2024, 8:17:19 AM4 trades$4424 min
1/20/2026, 2:32:00 PM2 trades$4263 min
5/5/2026, 8:48:14 PM15 trades$4194 min
7/10/2024, 8:51:47 PM5 trades$4178 min
7/14/2024, 8:55:25 PM6 trades$4083 min
4/11/2026, 11:13:25 AM7 trades$4000 min
7/21/2024, 6:16:53 PM14 trades$39813 min
7/6/2024, 8:50:01 PM4 trades$3976 min
7/11/2026, 9:37:29 PM17 trades$3926 min
12/4/2024, 7:32:56 PM4 trades$3775 min
1/18/2026, 10:16:08 PM2 trades$3411 min
7/12/2026, 11:03:56 AM6 trades$3061 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-10
07-13
09-16
11-16
04-30
01-19
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.5 / M19.4 / H23.1