@SemyonMarmeladov
#3,076,376290x37e4728b3c4607fb2b3b205386bb1d1fb1a8c991
~468d· 2004 markets · 54122 tradesVol: $146,145,9982026-08-05 16:40:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (961/2003)9/20
1.01x (win $25,677,353 / loss $25,457,112)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0951.8/15
Sortino 0.1311.3/10
$+0.0040 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 15 (2003 markets)10/10
177/382 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($2,715,355 / $2,120,563)0/10
Badges
8Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
8% sells
DCA Master
Avg 29.8 entries/market
Whale
$55,732,402 invested
High Roller
$50,391/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,884,603$-1,722,000Vol: $132,408,904
📈 ECONOMICS#22$227,660Vol: $2,915,456
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,777$-26,410Vol: $2,520,215
🎭 CULTURE#426$18,353Vol: $513,113
💻 TECH#51$29,774Vol: $235,359
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,883$-11,325Vol: $210,121
📢 MENTIONS#475$3,614Vol: $85,646
💰 FINANCE#657,997$-4,916Vol: $37,278
🌤️ WEATHER#292,583$-256Vol: $1,506
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,222,734
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$146,145,998
Total Redeem
$3,234,259
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2004
total markets
Trades
50012B / 4110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~468d
Periods
#2Week
$57,296
Vol: $71,176
Month
$44,129
Vol: $71,176
All Time
$-1,222,734
Vol: $146,145,998
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
961W / 1042L events
Realized PnL
$-1,222,734
Win Rate
48%
961W / 1042L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$26,719
Avg Loss
$-24,431
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,044,666 (0.8543683192153035% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$392,999
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$350,999
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$300,667
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$281,546
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?$262,550
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?$204,777
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?$196,897
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5$189,750
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$188,109
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?$182,874
Top Losers
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$-210,936
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-210,699
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-179,374
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?$-172,100
LAR vs. Panthers$-162,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-156,000
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)$-152,660
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?$-152,500
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5$-148,460
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$-148,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.006
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
48.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
31 min
Avg Trades / Session
90.0
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 6.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)64.9%
High (>55c)23.6%
Sessions
#1212/29/2025, 5:24:37 PM314 trades$525,404113 min
1/17/2026, 6:04:18 PM20 trades$493,71620 min
1/7/2026, 6:42:45 PM299 trades$447,22353 min
12/22/2025, 8:30:51 PM8 trades$394,39010 min
1/11/2026, 6:07:12 PM9 trades$334,10210 min
12/30/2025, 9:57:19 AM1128 trades$298,118399 min
1/4/2026, 5:06:43 PM32 trades$281,09437 min
1/21/2026, 6:52:32 PM136 trades$280,64439 min
1/17/2026, 5:45:50 PM12 trades$269,37113 min
1/17/2026, 4:55:32 PM13 trades$267,63510 min
1/3/2026, 8:41:47 PM218 trades$263,221142 min
6/4/2026, 11:41:16 AM216 trades$250,24373 min
1/10/2026, 10:54:12 PM4 trades$243,4024 min
12/28/2025, 8:17:17 PM92 trades$242,04246 min
1/19/2026, 6:38:06 PM17 trades$240,68823 min
11/29/2025, 5:50:55 PM3 trades$234,4135 min
4/5/2026, 3:44:21 PM89 trades$213,8032 min
1/9/2026, 6:22:18 PM50 trades$206,31737 min
1/22/2026, 7:59:18 PM3 trades$204,3091 min
12/14/2025, 7:01:19 PM1 trades$199,8000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-15
01-23
09-02
11-26
01-28
04-08
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.5 / M64.9 / H23.6