Senior-Strategic-Analyst

@Senior-S…lyst

#485,59218

0x6ec2d2fddff1f4372657c11fa88a54ee556455da

~30d· 32 markets · 179 tradesVol: $4,5302026-08-05 02:44:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (14/26)11.9/20
0.75x (win $650 / loss $872)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8330/15
Sortino -2.4700/10
$-0.1221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2342 (26 markets)0.8/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 154% of peak ($647 / $422)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+11
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#166,610$11Vol: $3,936
📢 MENTIONS#14,497$20Vol: $497
SPORTS#1,464,474$-20Vol: $80
📈 ECONOMICS#213,014$0Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,530
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
82B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$11
Vol: $4,530

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
14W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$11
Win Rate
54%
14W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $477 (43.99170506912442% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$346
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$87
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$28
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$23
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$9

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$-225
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-215
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-168
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-27
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$-20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
2453
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.3%
Top-5 markets
81.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)67.1%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 10:18:57 PM2 trades$5490 min
5/27/2026, 9:44:55 AM17 trades$5377 min
5/17/2026, 7:52:46 AM12 trades$3302 min
3/31/2026, 8:24:53 AM1 trades$3000 min
5/15/2026, 2:19:31 PM9 trades$2612 min
5/18/2026, 6:58:36 AM2 trades$2050 min
3/6/2026, 10:05:15 PM1 trades$1990 min
5/15/2026, 9:21:12 AM10 trades$1585 min
3/23/2026, 2:25:23 PM1 trades$1020 min
3/24/2026, 1:41:49 PM1 trades$1020 min
3/15/2026, 7:58:41 AM1 trades$1020 min
3/7/2026, 8:35:27 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/14/2026, 1:43:53 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/16/2026, 3:17:07 PM3 trades$980 min
5/15/2026, 10:00:40 AM2 trades$950 min
5/14/2026, 10:13:55 AM13 trades$855 min
6/11/2026, 8:33:42 PM5 trades$751 min
4/14/2026, 9:14:31 AM8 trades$736 min
4/27/2026, 7:42:30 AM7 trades$701 min
6/10/2026, 12:12:16 PM5 trades$640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
04-08
04-27
05-17
06-10
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M25.6 / H67.1