@ShibakuRL
#2,815,03190xb98d53f5615e3ab0942e73170bc176e919a85a68
~54d· 170 markets · 1409 tradesVol: $160,3182026-08-05 17:24:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
11% (19/169)0/20
0.83x (win $1,891 / loss $2,285)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6910/15
Sortino -1.3780/10
$-0.1215 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 683 (169 markets)9.1/10
5/52 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($1,458 / $1,051)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Categories
4🎭 CULTURE#739,574$-26Vol: $116,773
₿ CRYPTO#1,556,247$-261Vol: $37,763
🌤️ WEATHER#279,145$-61Vol: $3,935
⚽ SPORTS#1,525,843$-30Vol: $1,847
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$160,318
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
170
total markets
Trades
429B / 980S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
11%
19W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$-379
Win Rate
11%
19W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,754 (4.6259890283785206% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1,210
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$522
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$10
Top Losers
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-600
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-265
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-226
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-151
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$-68
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$-58
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.070
HHI
815
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
56.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 476s — normal for humanCV 3.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity20 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.34
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)56.2%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)29.8%
Sessions
#127/2/2026, 3:36:11 PM3 trades$3,0460 min
6/10/2026, 11:28:06 AM19 trades$1,6334 min
5/19/2026, 4:26:31 AM7 trades$1,2264 min
6/5/2026, 7:26:31 PM26 trades$1,0732 min
5/20/2026, 11:06:40 AM9 trades$1,0391 min
7/6/2026, 9:05:23 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/17/2026, 9:11:50 PM2 trades$8820 min
6/19/2026, 3:11:34 PM17 trades$7160 min
5/20/2026, 2:55:34 PM5 trades$7035 min
7/1/2026, 9:35:50 PM2 trades$6670 min
5/17/2026, 2:08:53 PM10 trades$6461 min
7/2/2026, 12:03:22 PM2 trades$5910 min
6/13/2026, 3:29:30 PM4 trades$5840 min
7/1/2026, 10:13:46 PM6 trades$5040 min
6/6/2026, 7:48:03 AM16 trades$4934 min
7/2/2026, 9:49:02 AM2 trades$4550 min
7/2/2026, 2:40:50 PM5 trades$4401 min
6/6/2026, 8:27:46 AM8 trades$4380 min
5/20/2026, 8:40:50 AM12 trades$4210 min
6/13/2026, 8:07:18 AM13 trades$4173 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
06-04
06-12
06-20
07-03
07-11
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.2 / M14 / H29.8